WallStSmart
HLT

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc

NYSE: HLT · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · LODGING

$314.50
-2.74% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$76.96B
P/E ratio
54.93
P/S ratio
15.53x
EPS (TTM)
$6.11
Dividend yield
0.18%
52W range
$217 – $345
Volume
1.8M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$314.50
Consensus
$308.27
-1.98%
2030 Target
$914.85
+190.89%
DCF
—
—
15 analysts:
6 Buy6 Hold1 Sell

Management guidance

Hilton management (CEO Christopher Nassetta) provided FY2026 guidance of $4.0-$4.04B in adjusted EBITDA with 1-2% RevPAR growth projected for 2026. The company is targeting continued global expansion with 20+ new luxury properties in 2026 and significant shareholder returns. Management did not provide explicit revenue guidance beyond 2026, but emphasized asset-light, fee-driven model sustainability and strong international pipeline growth.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$1,524.75
$18.0B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$914.85
$18.0B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$609.90
$18.0B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$10.2B$11.2B$12.0B$13.2B$14.3B$15.5B$16.7B$18.0B
Revenue growth—9.2%7.7%9.7%8.4%8.1%8.0%7.6%
EPS$6.22$7.12$7.62$9.13$10.50$11.95$13.35$14.85
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$670.89$731.88$792.87$853.86$914.85

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Hilton AI Planner expansion driving direct bookings and higher margins
+ Global pipeline expansion with 20+ new properties in luxury/lifestyle segments for 2026
+ Strong international growth momentum particularly in Asia-Pacific and EMEA offsetting softer US demand
+ Loyalty program enhancements (Hilton Honors) driving higher RevPAR and guest retention
+ Continued capital returns and shareholder-friendly capital allocation
Key risks
- US consumer caution amid geopolitical tensions (Iran conflict) and elevated travel costs pressuring demand
- K-shaped economy with weakness in certain US markets while high-end travel remains resilient
- RevPAR growth deceleration in 2026 (guidance of only 1-2%) signals potential market softness
- China market uncertainty and international expansion execution risks
- High valuation (P/E 50.3x, Forward P/E 29.62x) leaves limited margin for disappointment

Methodology

Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 15 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 6, 2026.