WallStSmart
HKD

AMTD Digital Inc.

NYSE: HKD · TECHNOLOGY · SOFTWARE - APPLICATION

$1.66
-0.60% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$531.13M
P/E ratio
9.39
P/S ratio
3.90x
EPS (TTM)
$0.18
Dividend yield
52W range
$1 – $3
Volume
0.7M

AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for HKD.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 70 / 100
P/E (TTM)
9.4x
vs 5Y median of 10.1x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+81.93%
Fair value $8.30 vs $1.66
EV / EBITDA
6.8x

HKD historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in HKD's own 5Y range.

NOW
8.9x
5Y Low
9.4x
25th
10.1x
Median
16.9x
75th
114.8x
5Y High
HKD is trading cheaper than 54% of the last 5Y.
46th percentile · Below median

HKD intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$1.66
Market value
Intrinsic value
$8.30
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+81.93%
+400.0% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

HKD valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 46th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 81.9% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 9.39x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 3.90x

Is HKD overvalued in 2026?

AMTD Digital Inc. (HKD) currently trades at $1.66 per share with a market capitalization of $531,132,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 70/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 9.4x, below its 5-year median of 10.1x.

Looking at its own history, HKD is currently trading cheaper than 54% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 46th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates HKD's intrinsic value at $8.30 per share, against the current market price of $1.66. This implies a margin of safety of +81.93%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: HKD trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 70/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is HKD overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 70/100, HKD is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is HKD's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates HKD's intrinsic value at $8.30 per share, versus the current price of $1.66. This produces a margin of safety of +81.93%.

What P/E ratio does HKD trade at?

HKD trades at a P/E of 9.4x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 10.1x.

Is HKD a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 70/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does HKD's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, HKD currently sits in the 46th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is below its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is HKD's Smart Value Score?

HKD's Smart Value Score is 70/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.