Graphic Packaging Holding Company
NYSE: GPK · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
Updated 2026-04-29
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for GPK.
Valued
Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.
GPK historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in GPK's own 5Y range.
GPK intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
GPK valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 6.49x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.33x
Is GPK overvalued in 2026?
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) currently trades at $9.60 per share with a market capitalization of $2,840,489,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 53/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 6.5x, below its 5-year median of 11.9x. The PEG ratio of 3.33 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, GPK is currently trading cheaper than 92% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 8th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates GPK's intrinsic value at $40.19 per share, against the current market price of $9.60. This implies a margin of safety of +69.12%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.
Bottom line: GPK trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 53/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.
Frequently asked questions
Is GPK overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 53/100, GPK is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.
What is GPK's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates GPK's intrinsic value at $40.19 per share, versus the current price of $9.60. This produces a margin of safety of +69.12%.
What P/E ratio does GPK trade at?
GPK trades at a P/E of 6.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 11.9x.
Is GPK a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 53/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.
How does GPK's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, GPK currently sits in the 8th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically cheap relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is GPK's Smart Value Score?
GPK's Smart Value Score is 53/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.