Graphic Packaging Holding Company
NYSE: GPK · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · PACKAGING & CONTAINERS
Updated 2026-06-05
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for GPK.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
GPK historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in GPK's own 5Y range.
GPK intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Standard discounted cash flow models produce unreliable output for unprofitable or near-breakeven companies. Revenue-based multiples such as P/S and EV/Sales, combined with the historical valuation position above, give a more reliable read for this stock.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
GPK valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 11.63x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.37x
Is GPK overvalued in 2026?
Graphic Packaging Holding Company (GPK) currently trades at $10.22 per share with a market capitalization of $3,165,995,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 48/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 11.6x, below its 5-year median of 11.8x. The PEG ratio of 3.33 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, GPK is currently trading more expensive than 50% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 50th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
A standard DCF model does not produce reliable output for GPK under current conditions. For unprofitable or near-breakeven companies, revenue-based multiples such as EV/Sales and historical P/S percentile are more informative than intrinsic value calculations.
Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 3/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.
Bottom line: GPK appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 48/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is GPK overvalued?
GPK scores 48/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. A standard DCF is unreliable here given the profitability profile, so valuation leans on revenue-based measures like EV/Sales and the P/S percentile below.
What is GPK's fair value?
A standard DCF is unreliable for GPK given its current profitability profile. Revenue-based approaches like EV/Sales or the historical P/S percentile are more informative for this stock.
What P/E ratio does GPK trade at?
GPK trades at a P/E of 11.6x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 11.8x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting below its own median means the stock is cheaper than usual relative to its earnings.
Is GPK a buy based on valuation?
Our Smart Value rating for GPK is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 48/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.
How does GPK's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, GPK sits in the 50th percentile of its own 5Y range, above its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.
What is GPK's Smart Value Score?
GPK's Smart Value Score is 48/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.