Canada Goose Holdings Inc
NYSE: GOOS · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL MANUFACTURING
Updated 2026-04-29
Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for GOOS.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
GOOS historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in GOOS's own 5Y range.
GOOS intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
GOOS valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 69.62x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.74x
Is GOOS overvalued in 2026?
Canada Goose Holdings Inc (GOOS) currently trades at $11.14 per share with a market capitalization of $1,082,011,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 49/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 69.6x, above its 5-year median of 39.1x. The PEG ratio of 3.02 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, GOOS is currently trading more expensive than 68% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 68th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates GOOS's intrinsic value at $43.67 per share, against the current market price of $11.14. This implies a margin of safety of +72.89%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: GOOS appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 49/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is GOOS overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 49/100, GOOS appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.
What is GOOS's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates GOOS's intrinsic value at $43.67 per share, versus the current price of $11.14. This produces a margin of safety of +72.89%.
What P/E ratio does GOOS trade at?
GOOS trades at a P/E of 69.6x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 39.1x.
Is GOOS a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 49/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.
How does GOOS's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, GOOS currently sits in the 68th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is GOOS's Smart Value Score?
GOOS's Smart Value Score is 49/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.