WallStSmart
GFL

Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc

NYSE: GFL · INDUSTRIALS · WASTE MANAGEMENT

$40.34
+0.47% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$14.56B
P/E ratio
98.39
P/S ratio
2.20x
EPS (TTM)
$0.41
Dividend yield
0.21%
52W range
$37 – $52
Volume
2.1M

Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for GFL.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 54 / 100
P/E (TTM)
98.4x
vs 5Y median of 52.4x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+5.11%
Fair value $46.42 vs $40.34
EV / EBITDA
13.9x

GFL historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in GFL's own 5Y range.

NOW
5.6x
5Y Low
7.3x
25th
52.4x
Median
97.8x
75th
105.3x
5Y High
GFL is trading more expensive than 80% of the last 5Y.
80th percentile · Historically expensive

GFL intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$40.34
Market value
Intrinsic value
$46.42
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+5.11%
+15.1% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

GFL valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 80th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
!
Near fair value
+5.11% margin of safety. Price is close to DCF estimate.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 98.39x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.20x

Is GFL overvalued in 2026?

Gfl Environmental Holdings Inc (GFL) currently trades at $40.34 per share with a market capitalization of $14,561,582,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 54/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 98.4x, above its 5-year median of 52.4x.

Looking at its own history, GFL is currently trading more expensive than 80% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 80th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates GFL's intrinsic value at $46.42 per share, against the current market price of $40.34. This implies a margin of safety of +5.11%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.

The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: GFL trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 54/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is GFL overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 54/100, GFL is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is GFL's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates GFL's intrinsic value at $46.42 per share, versus the current price of $40.34. This produces a margin of safety of +5.11%.

What P/E ratio does GFL trade at?

GFL trades at a P/E of 98.4x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 52.4x.

Is GFL a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 54/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does GFL's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, GFL currently sits in the 80th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is GFL's Smart Value Score?

GFL's Smart Value Score is 54/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.