What is FERG stock price target for 2026?

WallStSmart's 12-month price target for Ferguson Plc is $251.95, representing 1.6% downside from the current price of $256.16.

What is FERG stock forecast?

Ferguson Plc forecast includes bull, base, and bear case scenarios from 2026 through 2030. Revenue and EPS projections are derived from analyst consensus and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years.

Is FERG undervalued based on price targets?

Our DCF intrinsic value for Ferguson Plc is $193.77, against a current price of $256.16. The margin of safety is -37.98%.

FERG

Ferguson Plc

NYSE: FERG · INDUSTRIALS · INDUSTRIAL DISTRIBUTION

$256.16

-0.78% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap

$52.92B

P/E ratio

25.97

P/S ratio

1.72x

EPS (TTM)

$10.15

Dividend yield

1.57%

52W range

$163 – $271

Volume

1.4M

Market cap

$52.92B

P/E ratio

25.97

P/S ratio

1.72x

EPS (TTM)

$10.15

Dividend yield

1.57%

52W range

$163 – $271

Volume

1.4M

Ferguson Plc (FERG) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current

$256.16

Consensus

$270.46

+5.58%

2030 Target

$2,585.77

+909.44%

DCF

$193.77

-37.98% MoS

Current price

$256.16

Analyst consensus

$270.46

+5.58%

2030 Target

$2,585.77

+909.44%

Intrinsic (DCF)

$193.77

-37.98% MoS

13 analysts:

8 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

Ferguson issued FY2026 guidance of $33.26B revenue (8.0% growth from $30.80B TTM), with management emphasizing strong positioning in non-residential data center construction and expanded total addressable market for large capital projects. Management highlighted confidence in medium-term growth targets driven by data center proximity advantages and accretive capital deployment strategy.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range

Bull case (2030)

$4,301.78

$43.2B Rev × 20x P/S

Base case (2030)

$2,585.77

$43.2B Rev × 12x P/S

Bear case (2030)

$1,716.01

$43.2B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric	2023	2024	2025	2026 (E)	2027 (E)	2028 (E)	2029 (E)	2030 (E)
Revenue	$29.7B	$29.6B	$30.8B	$33.3B	$35.2B	$37.5B	$40.1B	$43.2B
Revenue growth	—	-0.3%	3.8%	8.0%	5.9%	6.3%	7.1%	7.7%
EPS	$9.83	$9.69	$2.84	$11.42	$12.61	$13.95	$15.32	$16.85
P/S ratio	—	—	—	12.0x	12.0x	12.0x	12.0x	12.0x
Implied price	—	—	—	$1,998.10	$2,115.63	$2,233.17	$2,397.71	$2,585.77

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts

+ Data center construction boom — 75% of planned DC builds within 30 miles of Ferguson stores, 90% within 60 miles

+ S&P 500 inclusion potential with strong market positioning and institutional ownership at 95.15%

+ Non-residential segment strength offsetting U.S. residential market weakness; margin expansion opportunities

Key risks

- U.S. residential market weakness impacting HVAC and plumbing demand; EPS estimates missed in recent quarters

- High debt load (Debt/Equity 1.03) limits financial flexibility in economic downturns

- Cyclical exposure to construction spending; geopolitical uncertainty and macroeconomic headwinds

Methodology

Ferguson Plc's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 13 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.