Etsy, Inc.
NYSE: ETSY · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · INTERNET RETAIL
Updated 2026-07-29
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ETSY.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
ETSY historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in ETSY's own 5Y range.
ETSY intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
ETSY valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 32.22x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 2.75x
Is ETSY overvalued in 2026?
Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) currently trades at $85.58 per share with a market capitalization of $7,980,773,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 45/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 32.2x, above its 5-year median of 30.9x. The PEG ratio of 0.82 suggests earnings growth is outpacing the multiple, a classic sign of undervaluation.
Looking at its own history, ETSY is currently trading more expensive than 54% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 54th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates ETSY's intrinsic value at $132.35 per share, against the current market price of $85.58. This implies a margin of safety of +64.14%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.
Bottom line: ETSY appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 45/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is ETSY overvalued?
ETSY scores 45/100 on our Smart Value Score (Grade C), a weak overall profile. The DCF also shows a positive margin of safety, so price and fundamentals line up reasonably well.
What is ETSY's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates ETSY's intrinsic value at $132.35 per share, versus the current price of $85.58, a margin of safety of +64.14%. Fair value is the present value of the cash flows we project the business to produce, so a price below it means the market is pricing the stock below that conservative estimate.
What P/E ratio does ETSY trade at?
ETSY trades at a P/E of 32.2x on trailing twelve-month earnings, against a 5-year median of 30.9x. P/E is what you pay per dollar of profit, and sitting above its own median means the stock is pricier than usual relative to its earnings.
Is ETSY a buy based on valuation?
Our Smart Value rating for ETSY is Sell, from a Smart Value Score of 45/100 that blends growth, quality, and valuation. The profile skews cautious, and a better price or clearer operating improvement would strengthen the case. This is research to inform your decision, not personalized financial advice.
How does ETSY's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, ETSY sits in the 54th percentile of its own 5Y range, above its long-run median relative to where it has traded. A high percentile means today's multiple is near the top of its historical band.
What is ETSY's Smart Value Score?
ETSY's Smart Value Score is 45/100. It is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation into a single 0-100 read, and scores above 75 are rare, signaling strong multi-factor alignment.