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EBR-

Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás

NYSE: EBR-B · UTILITIES · UTILITIES - RENEWABLE

$11.68
+0.00% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$24.82B
P/E ratio
21.63
P/S ratio
0.58x
EPS (TTM)
$0.54
Dividend yield
0.96%
52W range
$5 – $10
Volume
0.0M

Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás (EBR-B) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$11.68
Consensus
$10.79
-7.62%
2030 Target
$306.02
+2520.03%
DCF
4 analysts:
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

No specific revenue targets provided in available guidance. Company rebranded to AXIA Energia (effective October 2025) signaling focus on financial discipline and operational excellence. Management divested Eletronuclear nuclear division in October 2025 and is optimizing portfolio through partial sale of ISA CTEEP stake (targeting R$3.5B raised in 2024). No forward revenue guidance with specific targets found in search results.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysismedium confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$509.25
$54.1B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$306.02
$54.1B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$203.23
$54.1B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2022202320242026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$34.1B$37.2B$40.2B$44.9B$46.9B$49.2B$51.6B$54.1B
Revenue growth9.1%8.1%5.2%4.6%4.9%4.9%4.8%
EPS$0.51$0.85$0.48$0.62$0.75$0.88$1.02
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$253.46$265.14$277.98$292.00$306.02

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Migration to B3 Novo Mercado (April 2026 AGM approval expected) - enhances corporate governance and liquidity
+ AXIA Energia rebranding completed October 2025 - signals operational excellence focus and portfolio optimization
+ Nuclear divestiture (Eletronuclear sale to Ambar October 2025) - eliminates liabilities, improves balance sheet, frees capital for renewables
+ Renewable energy expansion - Brazil's energy transition tailwind and company focus on wind/solar
+ Dividend policy - R$4B+ annual distributions demonstrate strong cash generation and shareholder returns
+ Angra 3 nuclear plant resolution (February 2025 government deal) - de-risks utility, removes contingent liability
Key risks
- Hydrological risk - drought conditions impact hydropower output (Colíder plant drainage failures August 2025, recovery ongoing)
- Regulatory/political risk - Brazil government maintains influence through board appointment rights post-privatization
- Negative profit margins (-14.1% current) - Q3 2025 loss of R$5.45B despite revenue of R$42.64B indicates operational/accounting headwinds
- Currency risk - BRL depreciation impacts translated USD financials and debt servicing
- Energy market volatility - commodity price fluctuations and regulatory price controls in Brazil
- Refinancing risk - post-privatization debt obligations and capex requirements for grid modernization

Methodology

Centrais Elétricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrás's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 4 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.