WallStSmart
CVX

Chevron Corp

NYSE: CVX · ENERGY · OIL & GAS INTEGRATED

$193.31
+0.57% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$382.88B
P/E ratio
28.99
P/S ratio
2.07x
EPS (TTM)
$6.63
Dividend yield
3.63%
52W range
$129 – $215
Volume
12.7M

Chevron Corp (CVX) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for CVX.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 46 / 100
P/E (TTM)
29.0x
vs 5Y median of 23.0x
PEG
1.08
Fair range
Margin of Safety
-54.61%
Fair value $125.03 vs $193.31
EV / EBITDA
9.7x

CVX historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in CVX's own 5Y range.

NOW
8.2x
5Y Low
14.8x
25th
23.0x
Median
25.7x
75th
56.0x
5Y High
CVX is trading more expensive than 97% of the last 5Y.
97th percentile · Historically expensive

CVX intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$193.31
Market value
Intrinsic value
$125.03
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
-54.61%
-35.3% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

CVX valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
PEG in fair range
PEG of 1.08 suggests price reflects growth fairly. Neither a bargain nor overpriced.
P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 97th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
Premium to fair value
Price exceeds DCF intrinsic value by 54.6%. Limited downside protection.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 28.99x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.07x

Is CVX overvalued in 2026?

Chevron Corp (CVX) currently trades at $193.31 per share with a market capitalization of $382,882,775,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 29.0x, above its 5-year median of 23.0x. The PEG ratio of 1.08 points to a price that reasonably reflects expected earnings growth.

Looking at its own history, CVX is currently trading more expensive than 97% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 97th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates CVX's intrinsic value at $125.03 per share, against the current market price of $193.31. This implies a premium to fair value of -54.61%. The current price sits well above what projected cash flows justify, implying investors are paying for growth that has not yet materialized.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: CVX appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 46/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is CVX overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 46/100, CVX appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is CVX's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates CVX's intrinsic value at $125.03 per share, versus the current price of $193.31. This produces a margin of safety of -54.61%.

What P/E ratio does CVX trade at?

CVX trades at a P/E of 29.0x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 23.0x.

Is CVX a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 46/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does CVX's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, CVX currently sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is CVX's Smart Value Score?

CVX's Smart Value Score is 46/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.