Citi Trends Inc
NASDAQ: CTRN · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · APPAREL RETAIL
Updated 2026-04-30
Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for CTRN.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
CTRN historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in CTRN's own 5Y range.
CTRN intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
CTRN valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 80.41x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.52x
Is CTRN overvalued in 2026?
Citi Trends Inc (CTRN) currently trades at $48.71 per share with a market capitalization of $422,674,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 41/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 80.4x, above its 5-year median of 10.4x. The PEG ratio of 2.85 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.
Looking at its own history, CTRN is currently trading more expensive than 94% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 94th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates CTRN's intrinsic value at $51.26 per share, against the current market price of $48.71. This implies a margin of safety of +10.09%. The stock is priced close to its estimated fair value, offering limited upside without further operational improvement.
Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.
Bottom line: CTRN appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 41/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is CTRN overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 41/100, CTRN appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.
What is CTRN's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates CTRN's intrinsic value at $51.26 per share, versus the current price of $48.71. This produces a margin of safety of +10.09%.
What P/E ratio does CTRN trade at?
CTRN trades at a P/E of 80.4x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 10.4x.
Is CTRN a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 41/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.
How does CTRN's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, CTRN currently sits in the 94th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is CTRN's Smart Value Score?
CTRN's Smart Value Score is 41/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.