WallStSmart
CTOS

Custom Truck One Source Inc

NYSE: CTOS · INDUSTRIALS · RENTAL & LEASING SERVICES

$9.13
+1.33% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$2.08B
P/E ratio
P/S ratio
1.05x
EPS (TTM)
$-0.08
Dividend yield
52W range
$4 – $10
Volume
0.9M

Custom Truck One Source Inc (CTOS) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for CTOS.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 36 / 100
P/E (TTM)
Not meaningful for this profile
PEG
Margin of Safety
+66.82%
Fair value $21.37 vs $9.13
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

CTOS historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in CTOS's own 5Y range.

NOW
22.1x
5Y Low
28.4x
25th
29.4x
Median
37.0x
75th
58.2x
5Y High
CTOS is trading cheaper than 100% of the last 5Y.
0th percentile · Historically cheap

CTOS intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$9.13
Market value
Intrinsic value
$21.37
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+66.82%
+134.1% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

CTOS valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

Strong margin of safety
Current price 66.8% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.05x

Is CTOS overvalued in 2026?

Custom Truck One Source Inc (CTOS) currently trades at $9.13 per share with a market capitalization of $2,076,462,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 36/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

CTOS currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 1.0x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.

Looking at its own history, CTOS is currently trading cheaper than 100% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 0th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates CTOS's intrinsic value at $21.37 per share, against the current market price of $9.13. This implies a margin of safety of +66.82%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: CTOS appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 36/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is CTOS overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 36/100, CTOS appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is CTOS's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates CTOS's intrinsic value at $21.37 per share, versus the current price of $9.13. This produces a margin of safety of +66.82%.

What P/E ratio does CTOS trade at?

CTOS does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.

Is CTOS a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 36/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does CTOS's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, CTOS currently sits in the 0th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically cheap relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is CTOS's Smart Value Score?

CTOS's Smart Value Score is 36/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.