WallStSmart
CHRD

Chord Energy Corp

NASDAQ: CHRD · ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P

$146.12
+4.20% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$7.95B
P/E ratio
189.50
P/S ratio
1.73x
EPS (TTM)
$0.74
Dividend yield
3.78%
52W range
$82 – $148
Volume
1.2M

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for CHRD.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 42 / 100
P/E (TTM)
189.5x
vs 5Y median of 8.4x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+45.52%
Fair value $191.20 vs $146.12
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

CHRD historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in CHRD's own 5Y range.

NOW
3.1x
5Y Low
6.9x
25th
8.4x
Median
157.1x
75th
189.5x
5Y High
CHRD is trading more expensive than 100% of the last 5Y.
100th percentile · Historically expensive

CHRD intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$146.12
Market value
Intrinsic value
$191.20
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+45.52%
+30.9% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

CHRD valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 100th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 45.5% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 189.50x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.73x

Is CHRD overvalued in 2026?

Chord Energy Corp (CHRD) currently trades at $146.12 per share with a market capitalization of $7,949,091,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 42/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 189.5x, above its 5-year median of 8.4x.

Looking at its own history, CHRD is currently trading more expensive than 100% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 100th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates CHRD's intrinsic value at $191.20 per share, against the current market price of $146.12. This implies a margin of safety of +45.52%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 1/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: CHRD appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 42/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is CHRD overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 42/100, CHRD appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is CHRD's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates CHRD's intrinsic value at $191.20 per share, versus the current price of $146.12. This produces a margin of safety of +45.52%.

What P/E ratio does CHRD trade at?

CHRD trades at a P/E of 189.5x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 8.4x.

Is CHRD a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 42/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does CHRD's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, CHRD currently sits in the 100th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is CHRD's Smart Value Score?

CHRD's Smart Value Score is 42/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.