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BP

BP PLC ADR

NYSE: BP · ENERGY · OIL & GAS INTEGRATED

$47.38
+1.24% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$119.09B
P/E ratio
2,312.50
P/S ratio
0.64x
EPS (TTM)
$0.02
Dividend yield
4.32%
52W range
$26 – $48
Volume
15.3M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

BP PLC ADR (BP) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$47.38
Consensus
$41.43
-12.56%
2030 Target
$928.26
+1859.18%
DCF
$51.19
+24.69% MoS
10 analysts:
2 Buy6 Hold3 Sell

Management guidance

CEO Meg O'Neill has committed to structural cost reductions of $6.5-7.5 billion by end of 2027 and a strategic pivot back to high-return upstream assets. She aims to transform BP into a 'simpler, leaner, and more profitable entity' through portfolio optimization and divesting legacy assets, with results expected to show within two years. No specific revenue targets have been disclosed; guidance focuses on cost structure and operational efficiency rather than top-line growth.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$1,550.25
$202.5B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$928.26
$202.5B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$621.98
$202.5B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$210.1B$189.2B$189.3B$188.0B$189.5B$193.5B$198.0B$202.5B
Revenue growth—-10.0%0.1%0.2%0.8%2.1%2.3%2.3%
EPS$4.73$3.24$2.88$0.45$0.54$0.68$0.75$0.81
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$862.30$871.72$890.57$909.42$928.26

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Oil prices above $100/barrel driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions
+ Strategic portfolio restructuring and $1B+ divestments (Gelsenkirchen refinery sale)
+ Upstream reset and cost reduction of $6.5-7.5B by 2027 expected to improve profitability
+ New CEO leadership and organizational streamlining
+ LNG bunker fuel market projected to grow 19.1% CAGR through 2032
+ Gulf of Mexico expansion approved; Angola Quiluma field production started
Key risks
- Oil price volatility and cyclicality; current $100+ prices unsustainable long-term
- Dividend sustainability concerns amid production challenges and capex-intensive energy transition projects
- Negative insider selling sentiment and institutional pressure on climate/ESG disclosures
- Complex organizational structure and execution risk on portfolio rationalization
- Energy transition headwinds; underperformance in renewable energy segment
- Geopolitical exposure to Middle East conflict escalation

Methodology

BP PLC ADR's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 10 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 6, 2026.