WallStSmart
BFS

Saul Centers Inc

NYSE: BFS · REAL ESTATE · REIT - RETAIL

$34.46
+1.12% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$845.84M
P/E ratio
31.68
P/S ratio
2.92x
EPS (TTM)
$1.09
Dividend yield
6.88%
52W range
$28 – $35
Volume
0.1M

Saul Centers Inc (BFS) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for BFS.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 47 / 100
P/E (TTM)
31.7x
vs 5Y median of 26.7x
PEG
44.97
Elevated vs growth
Margin of Safety
+57.77%
Fair value $81.05 vs $34.46
EV / EBITDA
14.9x

BFS historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in BFS's own 5Y range.

NOW
20.7x
5Y Low
22.8x
25th
26.7x
Median
31.0x
75th
35.0x
5Y High
BFS is trading more expensive than 92% of the last 5Y.
92th percentile · Historically expensive

BFS intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$34.46
Market value
Intrinsic value
$81.05
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+57.77%
+135.2% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

BFS valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

PEG above 2.0
PEG of 44.97 suggests price is running ahead of growth rate. Caution warranted.
P/E near 5Y high
Current P/E sits in the 92th percentile of its 5Y range. Historically expensive relative to its own history.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 57.8% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 31.68x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 2.92x

Is BFS overvalued in 2026?

Saul Centers Inc (BFS) currently trades at $34.46 per share with a market capitalization of $845,839,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 31.7x, above its 5-year median of 26.7x. The PEG ratio of 44.97 indicates the price has run ahead of the underlying growth rate.

Looking at its own history, BFS is currently trading more expensive than 92% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 92th percentile of its historical range, a zone where forward returns have typically been muted.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates BFS's intrinsic value at $81.05 per share, against the current market price of $34.46. This implies a margin of safety of +57.77%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 0/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: BFS appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 47/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is BFS overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 47/100, BFS appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is BFS's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates BFS's intrinsic value at $81.05 per share, versus the current price of $34.46. This produces a margin of safety of +57.77%.

What P/E ratio does BFS trade at?

BFS trades at a P/E of 31.7x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 26.7x.

Is BFS a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 47/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does BFS's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, BFS currently sits in the 92th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically expensive relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is BFS's Smart Value Score?

BFS's Smart Value Score is 47/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.