Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock
NASDAQ: BAER · INDUSTRIALS · SECURITY & PROTECTION SERVICES
Updated 2026-04-29
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for BAER.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
BAER historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in BAER's own 5Y range.
BAER intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
BAER valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 0.97x
Is BAER overvalued in 2026?
Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Common Stock (BAER) currently trades at $2.02 per share with a market capitalization of $119,117,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 35/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
BAER currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 1.0x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates BAER's intrinsic value at $5.38 per share, against the current market price of $2.02. This implies a margin of safety of +47.96%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
Balance sheet and operating quality look strong. A Piotroski F-Score of 7/9 points to improving profitability, declining leverage, and healthy operating efficiency.
Bottom line: BAER appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 35/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is BAER overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 35/100, BAER appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.
What is BAER's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates BAER's intrinsic value at $5.38 per share, versus the current price of $2.02. This produces a margin of safety of +47.96%.
What P/E ratio does BAER trade at?
BAER does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.
Is BAER a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 35/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.
How does BAER's valuation compare to its history?
Insufficient historical valuation data exists yet for a confident percentile read on BAER.
What is BAER's Smart Value Score?
BAER's Smart Value Score is 35/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.