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AXIA

AXIA Energia

NYSE: AXIA · UTILITIES · UTILITIES - RENEWABLE

$12.55
+4.06% today

Updated 2026-04-30

Market cap
$28.16B
P/E ratio
18.69
P/S ratio
0.68x
EPS (TTM)
$0.67
Dividend yield
—
52W range
$6 – $14
Volume
2.8M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

AXIA Energia (AXIA) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$12.55
Consensus
$11.87
-5.42%
2030 Target
$307.32
+2348.76%
DCF
$18.21
+36.68% MoS
1 analysts:
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

Management guided to annual investments of BRL 12-14 billion for 2026 and 2027, signaling significant capex-driven growth. CEO indicated the company has concluded its corporate turnaround and is moving toward sustained growth phase. No specific revenue targets provided in available guidance; company focuses on transmission auction wins and grid modernization as growth drivers.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysismedium confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$513.35
$57.7B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$307.32
$57.7B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$204.88
$57.7B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$36.6B$46.1B$41.3B$43.3B$46.2B$49.5B$53.4B$57.7B
Revenue growth—26.1%-10.4%4.8%6.8%7.3%7.8%8.0%
EPS$0.40$0.37$0.31$0.52$0.68$0.82$0.95$1.10
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$231.35$246.31$264.73$285.45$307.32

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ BRL 12-14B annual capex investment program (2026-2027) driving transmission network expansion and grid modernization
+ Transmission auction wins and capacity reserve auction participation expanding generation/transmission portfolio
+ Migration to Novo Mercado governance standard expected to improve liquidity and valuation multiple
+ Itumbiara hydropower modernization project with ANDRITZ enhancing operational efficiency and long-term asset value
+ Q4 2025 adjusted net income surge of 141% YoY signaling operational turnaround completion and margin expansion
Key risks
- Brazilian government's 'golden share' veto power creates regulatory/political risk to strategic decisions
- Currency risk: revenues in BRL while trading in USD; BRL volatility impacts reported results
- Dividend taxation law changes and government opposition to preferred share issuance may constrain capital allocation flexibility
- Q4 2025 revenue declined 11.3% QoQ, suggesting seasonality or operational headwinds despite earnings growth
- 5-year revenue CAGR of only 7.1% reflects modest historical growth despite sector tailwinds; execution risk on capex plans

Methodology

AXIA Energia's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 1 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.