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AWK

American Water Works

NYSE: AWK · UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED WATER

$131.97
-0.53% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$25.77B
P/E ratio
23.40
P/S ratio
5.01x
EPS (TTM)
$5.64
Dividend yield
2.45%
52W range
$120 – $147
Volume
1.9M

American Water Works (AWK) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$131.97
Consensus
$141.60
+7.30%
2030 Target
$428.23
+224.49%
DCF
$110.27
-12.17% MoS
10 analysts:
0 Buy7 Hold2 Sell

Management guidance

American Water announced plans to invest up to $48 billion in infrastructure upgrades, resiliency, and acquisitions over the next decade (2026-2035), with approximately $4.8B average annual capex. Management has added ~385,000 new customers through acquisitions over the past ten years and plans continued M&A. No specific revenue targets by year were disclosed in available guidance.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$718.33
$7.0B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$428.23
$7.0B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$290.09
$7.0B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$4.2B$4.7B$5.1B$5.4B$5.8B$6.2B$6.6B$7.0B
Revenue growth10.6%9.7%5.8%7.0%6.7%6.5%6.4%
EPS$5.00$5.32$5.71$6.16$6.64$7.15$7.68$8.24
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$331.54$359.16$386.79$400.61$428.23

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Regulated rate increases across 50+ regulated utilities in 15+ states (6-9% typical annual rates)
+ $48 billion infrastructure investment program driving customer growth and operational efficiency through 2035
+ Customer assistance programs (Income-Based Discount pilot) expanding TAM by increasing penetration of lower-income customers
+ Strategic M&A activity adding 385,000 customers over past decade; acquisition pipeline continues
Key risks
- Regulatory headwinds: rate approval delays or unfavorable commission decisions could constrain revenue growth
- Interest rate sensitivity: rising rates increase debt service costs and capex financing burden given 1.47x debt/equity
- Weather volatility: drought/flooding impacts customer usage and operational costs (see CWSG weather-driven 42% net income decline)
- Mixed analyst sentiment: consensus is 'Hold' with recent downgrades from Wells Fargo, Jefferies, and Barclays limiting upside catalysts

Methodology

American Water Works's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 10 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.