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ATO

Atmos Energy Corporation

NYSE: ATO · UTILITIES · UTILITIES - REGULATED GAS

$185.71
-0.76% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$30.72B
P/E ratio
24.21
P/S ratio
6.31x
EPS (TTM)
$7.67
Dividend yield
1.93%
52W range
$147 – $193
Volume
1.0M

Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$185.71
Consensus
$173.63
-6.50%
2030 Target
$604.70
+225.62%
DCF
8 analysts:
1 Buy7 Hold0 Sell

Management guidance

Atmos Energy affirmed fiscal 2026 guidance in February 2026 earnings call but specific revenue targets beyond FY2026 were not disclosed in available materials. The company projects continued growth driven by rising natural gas demand, approved rate increases, and systematic capital investments in infrastructure modernization across its regulated distribution and pipeline segments.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$1,001.54
$8.3B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$604.70
$8.3B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$396.84
$8.3B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$4.3B$4.2B$4.7B$5.4B$6.1B$6.8B$7.5B$8.3B
Revenue growth-2.6%12.9%15.7%11.4%11.4%10.8%10.4%
EPS$6.13$6.84$2.44$8.33$8.90$9.45$10.05$10.70
P/S ratio12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price$396.84$434.63$491.32$548.01$604.70

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Infrastructure modernization capital spending ($15B+ multi-year capex program)
+ Rate case approvals in high-growth states (Texas, Mississippi, Colorado expansion)
+ Rising natural gas demand from industrial and residential growth
+ Dividend aristocrat status with 42+ consecutive years of increases
+ Customer base expansion in regulated service territories
Key risks
- Pipeline safety incidents and litigation (Lake Dallas explosion lawsuit pending)
- Regulatory pressure on rate increases and capital project approvals
- Interest rate sensitivity affecting refinancing costs on $40.3B enterprise value
- Energy transition and potential long-term natural gas demand decline
- Operational risks from aging infrastructure despite modernization efforts

Methodology

Atmos Energy Corporation's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 8 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.