Alumis Inc
NASDAQ: ALMS · HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY
Updated 2026-04-30
Alumis Inc (ALMS) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ALMS.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
ALMS historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in ALMS's own 5Y range.
ALMS intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Standard discounted cash flow models produce unreliable output for unprofitable or near-breakeven companies. Revenue-based multiples such as P/S and EV/Sales, combined with the historical valuation position above, give a more reliable read for this stock.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
ALMS valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 131.85x
Is ALMS overvalued in 2026?
Alumis Inc (ALMS) currently trades at $24.69 per share with a market capitalization of $3,171,079,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 24/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
ALMS currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 131.8x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.
A standard DCF model does not produce reliable output for ALMS under current conditions. For unprofitable or near-breakeven companies, revenue-based multiples such as EV/Sales and historical P/S percentile are more informative than intrinsic value calculations.
The Piotroski F-Score of 6/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: ALMS appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 24/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is ALMS overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 24/100, ALMS appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.
What is ALMS's fair value?
Standard DCF is unreliable for ALMS due to its current profitability profile. Revenue-based approaches such as EV/Sales or historical P/S percentile are more informative for this stock.
What P/E ratio does ALMS trade at?
ALMS does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.
Is ALMS a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 24/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.
How does ALMS's valuation compare to its history?
Insufficient historical valuation data exists yet for a confident percentile read on ALMS.
What is ALMS's Smart Value Score?
ALMS's Smart Value Score is 24/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.