WallStSmart
AGIO

Agios Pharm

NASDAQ: AGIO · HEALTHCARE · BIOTECHNOLOGY

$28.05
+13.10% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$1.67B
P/E ratio
P/S ratio
30.88x
EPS (TTM)
$-7.26
Dividend yield
52W range
$22 – $46
Volume
1.1M

Agios Pharm (AGIO) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for AGIO.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 38 / 100
P/E (TTM)
Not meaningful for this profile
PEG
Margin of Safety
+42.17%
Fair value $47.92 vs $28.05
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

AGIO historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in AGIO's own 5Y range.

Insufficient historical data for 5Y percentile analysis

AGIO intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$28.05
Market value
Intrinsic value
$47.92
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+42.17%
+70.8% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

AGIO valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

Strong margin of safety
Current price 42.2% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.
Weak financial quality
Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 suggests deteriorating fundamentals. Valuation requires closer scrutiny.

P/E Ratio — History

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 30.88x

Is AGIO overvalued in 2026?

Agios Pharm (AGIO) currently trades at $28.05 per share with a market capitalization of $1,668,179,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

AGIO currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 30.9x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates AGIO's intrinsic value at $47.92 per share, against the current market price of $28.05. This implies a margin of safety of +42.17%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

Financial quality is a concern. The Piotroski F-Score of 2/9 flags weakening fundamentals that deserve closer scrutiny before the valuation case can be fully trusted.

Bottom line: AGIO appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 38/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is AGIO overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 38/100, AGIO appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is AGIO's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates AGIO's intrinsic value at $47.92 per share, versus the current price of $28.05. This produces a margin of safety of +42.17%.

What P/E ratio does AGIO trade at?

AGIO does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.

Is AGIO a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 38/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does AGIO's valuation compare to its history?

Insufficient historical valuation data exists yet for a confident percentile read on AGIO.

What is AGIO's Smart Value Score?

AGIO's Smart Value Score is 38/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.