WallStSmart
ADTN

ADTRAN Inc

NASDAQ: ADTN · TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT

$16.79
+3.90% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$1.35B
P/E ratio
P/S ratio
1.25x
EPS (TTM)
$-0.52
Dividend yield
52W range
$7 – $18
Volume
2.1M

ADTRAN Inc (ADTN) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ADTN.

WallStSmart Verdict
Overvalued

Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.

Smart Value Score: 39 / 100
P/E (TTM)
Not meaningful for this profile
PEG
1.86
Fair range
Margin of Safety
+75.04%
Fair value $41.59 vs $16.79
EV / EBITDA
0.0x

ADTN historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in ADTN's own 5Y range.

Insufficient historical data for 5Y percentile analysis

ADTN intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$16.79
Market value
Intrinsic value
$41.59
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+75.04%
+147.7% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

ADTN valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
PEG in fair range
PEG of 1.86 suggests price reflects growth fairly. Neither a bargain nor overpriced.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 75.0% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 1.25x

Is ADTN overvalued in 2026?

ADTRAN Inc (ADTN) currently trades at $16.79 per share with a market capitalization of $1,354,923,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 39/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

ADTN currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 1.3x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates ADTN's intrinsic value at $41.59 per share, against the current market price of $16.79. This implies a margin of safety of +75.04%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: ADTN appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 39/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.

Frequently asked questions

Is ADTN overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 39/100, ADTN appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.

What is ADTN's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates ADTN's intrinsic value at $41.59 per share, versus the current price of $16.79. This produces a margin of safety of +75.04%.

What P/E ratio does ADTN trade at?

ADTN does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.

Is ADTN a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 39/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.

How does ADTN's valuation compare to its history?

Insufficient historical valuation data exists yet for a confident percentile read on ADTN.

What is ADTN's Smart Value Score?

ADTN's Smart Value Score is 39/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.