WallStSmart
ADM

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company

NYSE: ADM · CONSUMER DEFENSIVE · FARM PRODUCTS

$74.27
+2.02% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$35.79B
P/E ratio
33.30
P/S ratio
0.45x
EPS (TTM)
$2.23
Dividend yield
2.80%
52W range
$46 – $75
Volume
3.8M
OverviewPrice TargetsFinancialsValuationInsidersEarnings

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) Financial Forecast & Price Target 2030

Research-backed projections from analyst consensus, management guidance, and sector analysis.

Price target summary

Current
$74.27
Consensus
$64.00
-13.83%
2030 Target
$2,310.88
+3011.46%
DCF
$90.79
+23.67% MoS
6 analysts:
0 Buy2 Hold6 Sell

Management guidance

ADM provided FY2026 guidance but specific revenue targets beyond 2026 are not disclosed in available earnings materials. The company faces headwinds from biofuel policy uncertainty and trade volatility, which management cited as key factors affecting 2025 results. No specific CEO revenue guidance for 2027-2030 was found in the research data.

Sources: Management guidance, analyst consensus, sector analysishigh confidence

Revenue & price projection

Actual revenue Projected revenue Base case Bull to bear range
Bull case (2030)
$3,853.93
$92.8B Rev × 20x P/S
Base case (2030)
$2,310.88
$92.8B Rev × 12x P/S
Bear case (2030)
$1,543.05
$92.8B Rev × 8x P/S

Financial forecast — research-backed

Metric2023202420252026 (E)2027 (E)2028 (E)2029 (E)2030 (E)
Revenue$93.9B$85.5B$80.3B$84.3B$86.6B$88.9B$91.0B$92.8B
Revenue growth—-8.9%-6.2%5.0%2.7%2.6%2.3%2.0%
EPS$6.97$4.72$3.42$3.98$4.63$5.12$5.54$5.89
P/S ratio———12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x12.0x
Implied price———$2,096.77$2,155.84$2,214.90$2,266.58$2,310.88

Catalysts & risks

Growth catalysts
+ Biofuel policy clarity and regulatory support for renewable fuels segment
+ Resolution of trade tensions and normalization of international grain markets
+ Nutrition segment stabilization following accounting scandal resolution ($40M SEC settlement)
+ Farm Forward Initiative and partnerships driving farmer resilience and market access
+ Potential recovery in commodity prices supporting higher segment margins
Key risks
- Severe margin compression (1.3% profit margin) limits upside leverage to revenue growth
- Biofuel policy uncertainty creating structural headwinds to renewable fuels revenue
- Trade policy volatility (tariffs, China relations) directly impacting grain operations
- Accounting scandal aftermath (SEC probe completed, but reputational damage persists)
- Cyclical commodity price exposure limits pricing power and predictability
- High leverage (0.43 debt/equity) constrains financial flexibility

Methodology

Archer-Daniels-Midland Company's forward estimates are derived from AI-powered research synthesis combining analyst consensus from 6 Wall Street analysts, management guidance from the latest earnings call, and sector growth forecasts from industry research. Revenue and EPS projections use analyst consensus where available and conservative extrapolation with growth deceleration for outer years. Price targets are calculated using a tiered Price-to-Sales (P/S) methodology, where the P/S multiple is determined by the projected revenue growth rate.

WallStSmart proprietary research model · Not financial advice · Past performance is not indicative of future results · Last researched: April 7, 2026.