Ares Commercial Real Estate
NYSE: ACRE · REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE
Updated 2026-04-29
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ACRE.
Current price exceeds what fundamentals support. Risk/reward skewed unfavorably.
ACRE historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in ACRE's own 5Y range.
ACRE intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
ACRE valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 3.95x
Is ACRE overvalued in 2026?
Ares Commercial Real Estate (ACRE) currently trades at $5.18 per share with a market capitalization of $286,805,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock appears richly valued with a Smart Value Score of 41/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
ACRE currently has no meaningful P/E ratio, which typically signals that the company is unprofitable, near breakeven, or emerging from a loss-making period. With a P/S ratio of 3.9x, the market is valuing the company primarily on its revenue rather than its earnings.
Looking at its own history, ACRE is currently trading cheaper than 100% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 0th percentile of its historical range, a level that has historically coincided with attractive entry points.
Our discounted cash flow model estimates ACRE's intrinsic value at $45.34 per share, against the current market price of $5.18. This implies a margin of safety of +87.72%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.
The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: ACRE appears richly valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 41/100. At current levels the risk/reward is skewed against the buyer. A materially lower price or significant operational improvement would be needed to change the picture.
Frequently asked questions
Is ACRE overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 41/100, ACRE appears overvalued. Current price exceeds what fundamentals currently justify.
What is ACRE's fair value?
Our DCF model estimates ACRE's intrinsic value at $45.34 per share, versus the current price of $5.18. This produces a margin of safety of +87.72%.
What P/E ratio does ACRE trade at?
ACRE does not have a meaningful P/E ratio at this time, typically a sign of unprofitability or an ongoing earnings transition.
Is ACRE a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 41/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews cautious. Consider waiting for a better price or clearer operational improvement.
How does ACRE's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, ACRE currently sits in the 0th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is historically cheap relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is ACRE's Smart Value Score?
ACRE's Smart Value Score is 41/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.