Arch Capital Group Ltd
NASDAQ: ACGL · FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - DIVERSIFIED
Updated 2026-04-29
Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL) Stock Valuation Analysis
Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ACGL.
Valued
Fundamentals support the current valuation. Strong combination of growth, quality, and price.
ACGL historical valuation range
Where current P/E sits in ACGL's own 5Y range.
ACGL intrinsic value (DCF)
DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.
Standard discounted cash flow models produce unreliable output for unprofitable or near-breakeven companies. Revenue-based multiples such as P/S and EV/Sales, combined with the historical valuation position above, give a more reliable read for this stock.
Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.
ACGL valuation signals
Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.
P/E Ratio — History
Current: 8.37x
P/S Ratio — History
Current: 1.74x
Is ACGL overvalued in 2026?
Arch Capital Group Ltd (ACGL) currently trades at $92.72 per share with a market capitalization of $34,579,841,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock looks attractively valued with a Smart Value Score of 81/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.
The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 8.4x, above its 5-year median of 8.4x. The PEG ratio of 1.06 points to a price that reasonably reflects expected earnings growth.
Looking at its own history, ACGL is currently trading more expensive than 52% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 52th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.
A standard DCF model does not produce reliable output for ACGL under current conditions. For unprofitable or near-breakeven companies, revenue-based multiples such as EV/Sales and historical P/S percentile are more informative than intrinsic value calculations.
The Piotroski F-Score of 5/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.
Bottom line: ACGL looks attractively valued on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 81/100. The combination of reasonable price, healthy growth, and quality fundamentals makes it worth serious consideration.
Frequently asked questions
Is ACGL overvalued in 2026?
Based on a Smart Value Score of 81/100, ACGL is not overvalued. Fundamentals support the current price and offer reasonable margin of safety.
What is ACGL's fair value?
Standard DCF is unreliable for ACGL due to its current profitability profile. Revenue-based approaches such as EV/Sales or historical P/S percentile are more informative for this stock.
What P/E ratio does ACGL trade at?
ACGL trades at a P/E of 8.4x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 8.4x.
Is ACGL a buy based on valuation?
WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 81/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile skews favorable for long-term accumulation.
How does ACGL's valuation compare to its history?
On P/E, ACGL currently sits in the 52th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.
What is ACGL's Smart Value Score?
ACGL's Smart Value Score is 81/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.