WallStSmart
ACEL

Accel Entertainment Inc

NYSE: ACEL · CONSUMER CYCLICAL · GAMBLING

$12.49
+2.46% today

Updated 2026-04-29

Market cap
$1.02B
P/E ratio
20.82
P/S ratio
0.77x
EPS (TTM)
$0.60
Dividend yield
52W range
$10 – $13
Volume
0.4M

Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) Stock Valuation Analysis

Fair value estimate, historical valuation range, and quality signals for ACEL.

WallStSmart Verdict
Fairly
Valued

Valuation reasonably reflects current fundamentals. Limited margin of safety at these levels.

Smart Value Score: 54 / 100
P/E (TTM)
20.8x
vs 5Y median of 20.2x
PEG
Margin of Safety
+48.01%
Fair value $21.35 vs $12.49
EV / EBITDA
6.9x

ACEL historical valuation range

Where current P/E sits in ACEL's own 5Y range.

NOW
9.5x
5Y Low
19.0x
25th
20.2x
Median
23.1x
75th
39.5x
5Y High
ACEL is trading more expensive than 60% of the last 5Y.
60th percentile · Above median

ACEL intrinsic value (DCF)

DCF-based fair value estimate vs current market price.

Current price
$12.49
Market value
Intrinsic value
$21.35
DCF estimate
Margin of safety
+48.01%
+70.9% upside to fair value

Intrinsic value calculated using discounted cash flow (DCF) model based on projected free cash flows, discount rate, and terminal growth assumptions. A positive margin of safety indicates the current price is below estimated fair value, providing a cushion against estimation error.

ACEL valuation signals

Quick-read green flags, caution flags, and risks based on current metrics.

!
P/E in mid-range
P/E sits at the 60th percentile of the 5Y range. Neither cheap nor rich historically.
Strong margin of safety
Current price 48.0% below DCF intrinsic value estimate. Meaningful downside cushion.

P/E Ratio — History

Current: 20.82x

P/S Ratio — History

Current: 0.77x

Is ACEL overvalued in 2026?

Accel Entertainment Inc (ACEL) currently trades at $12.49 per share with a market capitalization of $1,018,850,000.00. Based on our multi-factor framework, the stock trades at a fair valuation with a Smart Value Score of 54/100. This score blends growth quality, financial health, and price attractiveness into a single institutional-grade read.

The stock trades at a P/E ratio of 20.8x, above its 5-year median of 20.2x.

Looking at its own history, ACEL is currently trading more expensive than 60% of the last 5Y on P/E. This places it in the 60th percentile of its historical range, a reasonable but unremarkable position.

Our discounted cash flow model estimates ACEL's intrinsic value at $21.35 per share, against the current market price of $12.49. This implies a margin of safety of +48.01%. A meaningful cushion exists against model error, making this a reasonable risk-adjusted entry.

The Piotroski F-Score of 4/9 puts financial quality in a middling range, neither a standout strength nor an obvious red flag.

Bottom line: ACEL trades at a fair valuation on our framework, with a Smart Value Score of 54/100. The valuation is defensible but offers no obvious bargain. Patience or a better entry price may reward disciplined buyers.

Frequently asked questions

Is ACEL overvalued in 2026?

Based on a Smart Value Score of 54/100, ACEL is fairly valued. Price reasonably reflects current fundamentals with limited cushion in either direction.

What is ACEL's fair value?

Our DCF model estimates ACEL's intrinsic value at $21.35 per share, versus the current price of $12.49. This produces a margin of safety of +48.01%.

What P/E ratio does ACEL trade at?

ACEL trades at a P/E of 20.8x on trailing twelve-month earnings, compared to its 5-year median of 20.2x.

Is ACEL a buy based on valuation?

WallStSmart does not issue buy or sell recommendations. Our Smart Value Score of 54/100 reflects the combined read on growth, quality, and price. The profile is balanced. Best suited for investors with an existing thesis.

How does ACEL's valuation compare to its history?

On P/E, ACEL currently sits in the 60th percentile of its own 5Y range. That is above its long-run median relative to where it has traded over the period.

What is ACEL's Smart Value Score?

ACEL's Smart Value Score is 54/100. The Smart Value Score is a proprietary WallStSmart metric blending growth quality, financial health, and valuation attractiveness into a single 0-100 read. Scores above 75 are rare and indicate strong multi-factor alignment.