WallStSmart

Stem Inc (STEM)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Vistra Energy Corp generates 11251% more annual revenue ($17.74B vs $156.27M). STEM leads profitability with a 88.2% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 53/100 (C-).

STEM

Hold

44

out of 100

Grade: D

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.0Value: 6.7Quality: 5.0

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

STEMUndervalued (+77.9%)

Margin of Safety

+77.9%

Fair Value

$52.09

Current Price

$10.70

$41.39 discount

UndervaluedFair: $52.09Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

STEM1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Profit MarginProfitability
88.2%10/10

Keeps 88 of every $100 in revenue as profit

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

STEM4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$96.73M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
-5921.0%2/10

ROE of -5921.0% — below average capital efficiency

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-15.6%2/10

Revenue declined 15.6%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : STEM

The strongest argument for STEM centers on Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 88.2% and operating margin at 8.3%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : STEM

The primary concerns for STEM are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

STEM profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

STEM generates stronger free cash flow (7M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

VST scores higher overall (53/100 vs 44/100) and 13.6% revenue growth. STEM offers better value entry with a 77.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Stem Inc

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - RENEWABLE · USA

Stem, Inc. is an energy technology company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Millbrae, California.

Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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