WallStSmart

AXIA Energia (AXIA)vsVistra Energy Corp (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

AXIA Energia generates 133% more annual revenue ($41.28B vs $17.74B). AXIA leads profitability with a 15.9% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.36. AXIA earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 66/100 (B-).

AXIA

Strong Buy

66

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 6.0Profit: 6.5Value: 6.0Quality: 4.3
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 0.92

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

AXIAUndervalued (+36.7%)

Margin of Safety

+36.7%

Fair Value

$18.21

Current Price

$12.55

$5.66 discount

UndervaluedFair: $18.21Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-54.4%)

Margin of Safety

-54.4%

Fair Value

$100.34

Current Price

$157.84

$57.50 premium

UndervaluedFair: $100.34Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

AXIA4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Operating MarginProfitability
60.9%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 60.9%

EPS GrowthGrowth
1141.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 1141.0% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.26B8/10

Generating 2.3B in free cash flow

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$53.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

AXIA4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
5.5%3/10

ROE of 5.5% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
2.812/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.3%2/10

Revenue declined 11.3%

VST4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
20.4x2/10

Trading at 20.4x book value

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : AXIA

The strongest argument for AXIA centers on Operating Margin, EPS Growth, Price/Book. Profitability is solid with margins at 15.9% and operating margin at 60.9%.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.36 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : AXIA

The primary concerns for AXIA are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

AXIA profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.50 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

AXIA generates stronger free cash flow (2.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

AXIA scores higher overall (66/100 vs 53/100), backed by strong 15.9% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

AXIA Energia

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - RENEWABLE · USA

Centrais Eltricas Brasileiras S.A. - Eletrobrs, engages in the generation, transmission, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company is headquartered in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

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Vistra Energy Corp

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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