WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsUnited Fire Group Inc (UFCS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 6221% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $1.39B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 8.5%. UFCS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.41. UFCS earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 68/100 (B-).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

UFCS

Strong Buy

68

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 7.3Profit: 5.5Value: 10.0Quality: 5.8
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
UFCSUndervalued (+77.2%)

Margin of Safety

+77.2%

Fair Value

$173.82

Current Price

$36.85

$136.97 discount

UndervaluedFair: $173.82Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

UFCS4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.3x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.0x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.189/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

EPS GrowthGrowth
20.0%8/10

Earnings expanding 20.0% YoY

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

UFCS1 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$950.95M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UFCS

The strongest argument for UFCS centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Debt/Equity. PEG of 1.41 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : UFCS

The primary concerns for UFCS are Market Cap.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UFCS carries more volatility with a beta of 0.39 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

UFCS scores higher overall (68/100 vs 67/100). PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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United Fire Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

United Fire Group, Inc., offers property and casualty insurance for individuals and businesses in the United States. The company is headquartered in Cedar Rapids, Iowa.

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