WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsSkyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock (SKWD)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 6087% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $1.42B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 12.0%. SKWD appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.73. SKWD earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

SKWD

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 10.0Quality: 6.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.47
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
SKWDUndervalued (+76.1%)

Margin of Safety

+76.1%

Fair Value

$190.48

Current Price

$43.15

$147.33 discount

UndervaluedFair: $190.48Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

SKWD5 strengths · Avg: 8.6/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.1x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Debt/EquityHealth
0.129/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.738/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.7x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
26.7%8/10

Revenue surging 26.7% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

SKWD3 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
2.0%4/10

2.0% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.83B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.472/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SKWD

The strongest argument for SKWD centers on P/E Ratio, Debt/Equity, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 26.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.73 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : SKWD

The primary concerns for SKWD are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Altman Z-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR profiles as a value stock while SKWD is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

SKWD carries more volatility with a beta of 0.52 — expect wider price swings.

SKWD is growing revenue faster at 26.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

SKWD scores higher overall (78/100 vs 67/100) and 26.7% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc. Common Stock

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

Skyward Specialty Insurance Group, Inc., an insurance holding company, engages in underwriting commercial property and casualty insurance coverages in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

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