WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsSafety Insurance Group Inc (SAFT)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 6835% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $1.26B). PGR leads profitability with a 12.9% profit margin vs 7.8%. SAFT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.95. SAFT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 71/100 (B).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

SAFT

Strong Buy

71

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 6.0Profit: 5.5Value: 10.0Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
SAFTUndervalued (+74.6%)

Margin of Safety

+74.6%

Fair Value

$313.56

Current Price

$72.82

$240.74 discount

UndervaluedFair: $313.56Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

SAFT4 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
1.2x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Debt/EquityHealth
0.0610/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

PEG RatioValuation
0.958/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

SAFT3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
1.5%4/10

1.5% earnings growth

Market CapQuality
$1.06B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Profit MarginProfitability
7.8%3/10

7.8% margin — thin

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : SAFT

The strongest argument for SAFT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Debt/Equity. Revenue growth of 11.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.95 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : SAFT

The primary concerns for SAFT are EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

SAFT scores higher overall (71/100 vs 67/100) and 11.4% revenue growth. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Safety Insurance Group Inc

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

Safety Insurance Group, Inc. offers private passenger and commercial auto and homeowners insurance in the United States. The company is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

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