WallStSmart

Occidental Petroleum Corporation (OXY)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 323% more annual revenue ($89.42B vs $21.12B). OXY leads profitability with a 22.4% profit margin vs 12.9%. OXY appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.21. OXY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (B-).

OXY

Strong Buy

65

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 4.7Profit: 6.0Value: 5.3Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.14

PGR

Buy

61

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.5Value: 5.7Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

OXYUndervalued (+28.5%)

Margin of Safety

+28.5%

Fair Value

$66.05

Current Price

$53.03

$13.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $66.05Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for PGR.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

OXY4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
315.6%10/10

Earnings expanding 315.6% YoY

Market CapQuality
$53.65B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
22.4%9/10

Keeps 22 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

PGR4 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
37.9%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 38 in profit

Market CapQuality
$113.36B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Free Cash FlowQuality
$4.30B8/10

Generating 4.3B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

OXY4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
4.0%3/10

ROE of 4.0% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
72.9x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-8.3%2/10

Revenue declined 8.3%

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
30.202/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : OXY

The strongest argument for OXY centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 22.4% and operating margin at 17.7%. PEG of 1.21 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap.

Bear Case : OXY

The primary concerns for OXY are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 72.9x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

OXY profiles as a declining stock while PGR is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 8.7% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (4.3B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

OXY scores higher overall (65/100 vs 61/100), backed by strong 22.4% margins. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Occidental Petroleum Corporation is an American company engaged in hydrocarbon exploration in the United States, the Middle East, and Colombia as well as petrochemical manufacturing in the United States, Canada, and Chile.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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