WallStSmart

Progressive Corp (PGR)vsWoodside Energy Group Ltd (WDS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Progressive Corp generates 575% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $12.98B). WDS leads profitability with a 20.9% profit margin vs 12.9%. WDS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.33. PGR earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 67/100 (B-).

PGR

Strong Buy

67

out of 100

Grade: B-

Growth: 8.0Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 4/9

WDS

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.0Value: 7.3Quality: 4.8
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.37
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

PGRUndervalued (+76.9%)

Margin of Safety

+76.9%

Fair Value

$900.43

Current Price

$202.84

$697.59 discount

UndervaluedFair: $900.43Overvalued
WDSSignificantly Overvalued (-94.1%)

Margin of Safety

-94.1%

Fair Value

$9.66

Current Price

$23.66

$14.00 premium

UndervaluedFair: $9.66Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

PGR5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.7x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
40.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Market CapQuality
$120.67B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.2%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY

Free Cash FlowQuality
$3.05B8/10

Generating 3.0B in free cash flow

WDS3 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
20.9%9/10

Keeps 21 of every $100 in revenue as profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

PGR1 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
PEG RatioValuation
31.572/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

WDS4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Revenue GrowthGrowth
-11.1%2/10

Revenue declined 11.1%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-14.4%2/10

Earnings declined 14.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : PGR

The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : WDS

The strongest argument for WDS centers on Price/Book, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. Profitability is solid with margins at 20.9% and operating margin at 19.1%. PEG of 1.33 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : PGR

The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.

Bear Case : WDS

The primary concerns for WDS are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, Revenue Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

PGR profiles as a value stock while WDS is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.

PGR carries more volatility with a beta of 0.29 — expect wider price swings.

PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.

PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

PGR scores higher overall (67/100 vs 53/100) and 12.2% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Progressive Corp

FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA

The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.

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Woodside Energy Group Ltd

ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA

Woodside Energy Group Ltd is engaged in the exploration, evaluation, development, production, marketing and sale of hydrocarbons in Oceania, Asia, Canada, Africa and internationally. The company is headquartered in Perth, Australia.

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