WallStSmart

NRG Energy Inc. (NRG)vsExxon Mobil Corp (XOM)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Exxon Mobil Corp generates 961% more annual revenue ($326.01B vs $30.71B). XOM leads profitability with a 7.8% profit margin vs 2.8%. NRG appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.34. NRG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).

NRG

Buy

56

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 6.0Quality: 5.3
Piotroski: 5/9Altman Z: 1.70

XOM

Buy

50

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 2.7Profit: 5.5Value: 4.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 1/9Altman Z: 3.44
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NRGUndervalued (+58.9%)

Margin of Safety

+58.9%

Fair Value

$391.20

Current Price

$138.11

$253.09 discount

UndervaluedFair: $391.20Overvalued
XOMSignificantly Overvalued (-37.0%)

Margin of Safety

-37.0%

Fair Value

$106.98

Current Price

$144.57

$37.59 premium

UndervaluedFair: $106.98Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NRG1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
41.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 42 in profit

XOM5 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$607.57B10/10

Mega-cap, among the largest globally

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.4410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.279/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

Price/BookValuation
2.3x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.23B8/10

Generating 2.2B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

NRG4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.704/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Profit MarginProfitability
2.8%3/10

2.8% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
4.3%3/10

Operating margin of 4.3%

P/E RatioValuation
157.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

XOM4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
2.6%4/10

2.6% revenue growth

Profit MarginProfitability
7.8%3/10

7.8% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
1/93/10

Weak financial health signals

EPS GrowthGrowth
-43.4%2/10

Earnings declined 43.4%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NRG

The strongest argument for NRG centers on Return on Equity. Revenue growth of 13.7% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.34 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : XOM

The strongest argument for XOM centers on Market Cap, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity. PEG of 1.42 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NRG

The primary concerns for NRG are Altman Z-Score, Profit Margin, Operating Margin. A P/E of 157.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 2.8% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : XOM

The primary concerns for XOM are Revenue Growth, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NRG carries more volatility with a beta of 1.31 — expect wider price swings.

NRG is growing revenue faster at 13.7% — sustainability is the question.

XOM generates stronger free cash flow (2.2B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NRG scores higher overall (56/100 vs 50/100) and 13.7% revenue growth. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

NRG Energy Inc.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

NRG Energy, Inc. is a large American energy company, headquartered in Houston, Texas. It was formerly the wholesale arm of Northern States Power Company (NSP), which became Xcel Energy, but became independent in 2000. NRG Energy is involved in energy generation and retail electricity.

Exxon Mobil Corp

ENERGY · OIL & GAS INTEGRATED · USA

Exxon Mobil Corporation, stylized as ExxonMobil, is an American multinational oil and gas corporation headquartered in Irving, Texas. It is the largest direct descendant of John D. Rockefeller's Standard Oil, and was formed on November 30, 1999 by the merger of Exxon (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New Jersey) and Mobil (formerly the Standard Oil Company of New York). ExxonMobil's primary brands are Exxon, Mobil, Esso, and ExxonMobil Chemical. ExxonMobil is incorporated in New Jersey.

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