WallStSmart

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsVistra Corp. (VST)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Northrop Grumman Corporation generates 139% more annual revenue ($42.37B vs $17.74B). NOC leads profitability with a 10.8% profit margin vs 5.3%. VST appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.38. NOC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

NOC

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 4.0Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.96

VST

Buy

53

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 3.3Profit: 6.0Value: 3.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.73
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NOCSignificantly Overvalued (-60.9%)

Margin of Safety

-60.9%

Fair Value

$421.87

Current Price

$549.52

$127.65 premium

UndervaluedFair: $421.87Overvalued
VSTSignificantly Overvalued (-53.3%)

Margin of Safety

-53.3%

Fair Value

$101.06

Current Price

$147.72

$46.66 premium

UndervaluedFair: $101.06Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NOC4 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
84.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 84.9% YoY

Market CapQuality
$78.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
28.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

VST1 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Market CapQuality
$52.12B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Areas to Watch

NOC4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.4%4/10

4.4% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.183/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

VST4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Price/BookValuation
19.1x4/10

Trading at 19.1x book value

Profit MarginProfitability
5.3%3/10

5.3% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

P/E RatioValuation
70.6x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NOC

The strongest argument for NOC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : VST

The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NOC

The primary concerns for NOC are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : VST

The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.

VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.

VST generates stronger free cash flow (-82M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NOC scores higher overall (63/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Northrop Grumman Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.

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Vistra Corp.

UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA

Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.

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