WallStSmart

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC)vsUnited Parcel Service Inc (UPS)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

United Parcel Service Inc generates 108% more annual revenue ($88.32B vs $42.37B). NOC leads profitability with a 10.8% profit margin vs 5.9%. UPS appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.59. NOC earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 63/100 (C+).

NOC

Buy

63

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 6.0Profit: 7.0Value: 3.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.96

UPS

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 6.5Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 2.21
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NOCSignificantly Overvalued (-61.6%)

Margin of Safety

-61.6%

Fair Value

$419.98

Current Price

$572.41

$152.43 premium

UndervaluedFair: $419.98Overvalued
UPSUndervalued (+35.9%)

Margin of Safety

+35.9%

Fair Value

$187.24

Current Price

$106.61

$80.63 discount

UndervaluedFair: $187.24Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NOC3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
EPS GrowthGrowth
84.9%10/10

Earnings expanding 84.9% YoY

Market CapQuality
$82.31B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
28.5%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit

UPS4 strengths · Avg: 8.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
33.4%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Market CapQuality
$90.58B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

P/E RatioValuation
17.3x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Free Cash FlowQuality
$2.59B8/10

Generating 2.6B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

NOC4 concerns · Avg: 3.5/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
4.4%4/10

4.4% revenue growth

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.964/10

Grey zone — moderate risk

Debt/EquityHealth
1.183/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

UPS4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
1.594/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
5.9%3/10

5.9% margin — thin

Debt/EquityHealth
1.993/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NOC

The strongest argument for NOC centers on EPS Growth, Market Cap, Return on Equity.

Bull Case : UPS

The strongest argument for UPS centers on Return on Equity, Market Cap, P/E Ratio.

Bear Case : NOC

The primary concerns for NOC are Revenue Growth, Altman Z-Score, Debt/Equity.

Bear Case : UPS

The primary concerns for UPS are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, Debt/Equity. Debt-to-equity of 1.99 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

UPS carries more volatility with a beta of 1.10 — expect wider price swings.

NOC is growing revenue faster at 4.4% — sustainability is the question.

UPS generates stronger free cash flow (2.6B), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor AEROSPACE & DEFENSE industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

NOC scores higher overall (63/100 vs 47/100). UPS offers better value entry with a 35.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Northrop Grumman Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · AEROSPACE & DEFENSE · USA

Northrop Grumman Corporation (NYSE: NOC) is an American multinational aerospace and defense technology company.

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United Parcel Service Inc

INDUSTRIALS · INTEGRATED FREIGHT & LOGISTICS · USA

United Parcel Service is an American multinational shipping & receiving and supply chain management company founded in 1907.

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