WallStSmart

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. (NLY)vsRedwood Trust Inc (RWT)

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Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Annaly Capital Management, Inc. generates 1144% more annual revenue ($3.25B vs $261.57M). NLY leads profitability with a 90.7% profit margin vs 2.2%. RWT appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.47. NLY earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 77/100 (B+).

NLY

Strong Buy

77

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 9.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.3Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: -0.56

RWT

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 4.0Value: 7.0Quality: 2.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 0.00
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

NLYOvervalued (-9.2%)

Margin of Safety

-9.2%

Fair Value

$20.89

Current Price

$18.29

$2.60 premium

UndervaluedFair: $20.89Overvalued
RWTUndervalued (+58.0%)

Margin of Safety

+58.0%

Fair Value

$15.96

Current Price

$3.26

$12.70 discount

UndervaluedFair: $15.96Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

NLY6 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
4.5x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Profit MarginProfitability
90.7%10/10

Keeps 91 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
91.6%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 91.6%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
479.4%10/10

Revenue surging 479.4% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
3426.0%10/10

Earnings expanding 3426.0% YoY

RWT1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.5x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

NLY4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Return on EquityProfitability
7.2%3/10

ROE of 7.2% — below average capital efficiency

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

PEG RatioValuation
32.032/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
-0.562/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

RWT4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Market CapQuality
$405.73M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
0.6%3/10

ROE of 0.6% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
2.2%3/10

2.2% margin — thin

Operating MarginProfitability
0.1%3/10

Operating margin of 0.1%

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : NLY

The strongest argument for NLY centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 90.7% and operating margin at 91.6%. Revenue growth of 479.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : RWT

The strongest argument for RWT centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.47 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : NLY

The primary concerns for NLY are Return on Equity, Piotroski F-Score, PEG Ratio. Debt-to-equity of 8.04 is elevated, increasing financial risk.

Bear Case : RWT

The primary concerns for RWT are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Debt-to-equity of 29.41 is elevated, increasing financial risk. Thin 2.2% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

NLY profiles as a growth stock while RWT is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

RWT carries more volatility with a beta of 1.51 — expect wider price swings.

NLY is growing revenue faster at 479.4% — sustainability is the question.

NLY generates stronger free cash flow (1.4B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

NLY scores higher overall (77/100 vs 46/100), backed by strong 90.7% margins and 479.4% revenue growth. RWT offers better value entry with a 58.0% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Annaly Capital Management, Inc.

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Annaly Capital Management, Inc., a diversified capital manager, invests in and finances residential and commercial assets. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

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Redwood Trust Inc

REAL ESTATE · REIT - MORTGAGE · USA

Redwood Trust, Inc., is a specialized finance company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Mill Valley, California.

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