WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 8867% more annual revenue ($24.70B vs $275.46M). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs -31.2%. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 5.0Quality: 7.0
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.13

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.

UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-76.6%)

Margin of Safety

-76.6%

Fair Value

$150.01

Current Price

$264.65

$114.64 premium

UndervaluedFair: $150.01Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
70.0%10/10

Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%

Market CapQuality
$157.27B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.2%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.50B8/10

Generating 1.5B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Return on EquityProfitability
-5.0%2/10

ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-109.26M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.132/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.2%4/10

3.2% revenue growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.302/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while UNP is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.91 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 29.2% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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