MP Materials Corp (MP)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$53.74
+0.84%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $9.47B
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$241.33
+0.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $142.22B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Union Pacific Corporation generates 8798% more annual revenue ($24.51B vs $275.46M). UNP leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs -31.2%. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).
MP
Avoid29
out of 100
Grade: F
UNP
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Intrinsic value data unavailable for MP.
Margin of Safety
-13.1%
Fair Value
$211.98
Current Price
$241.33
$29.35 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 70.0% year-over-year
Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
ROE of -5.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 0.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 70.0% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : UNP
The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Return on Equity, EPS Growth, Free Cash Flow.
Bear Case : UNP
The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while UNP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.62 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 70.0% — sustainability is the question.
UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 29/100), backed by strong 29.1% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Union Pacific Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA
The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.
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