WallStSmart

MP Materials Corp (MP)vsTernium SA ADR (TX)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ternium SA ADR generates 4391% more annual revenue ($15.61B vs $347.57M). TX leads profitability with a 3.7% profit margin vs -20.5%. TX earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C+).

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.53

TX

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C+

Growth: 5.3Profit: 4.5Value: 7.7Quality: 8.0
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.14
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

MPSignificantly Overvalued (-55.4%)

Margin of Safety

-55.4%

Fair Value

$37.03

Current Price

$65.45

$28.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $37.03Overvalued

Intrinsic value data unavailable for TX.

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
118.6%10/10

Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year

TX6 strengths · Avg: 9.5/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.1310/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
0.8x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

EPS GrowthGrowth
218.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 218.1% YoY

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.1410/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Debt/EquityHealth
0.259/10

Conservative balance sheet, low leverage

P/E RatioValuation
15.9x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Areas to Watch

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-79.28M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

TX4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
0.0%4/10

0.0% revenue growth

Return on EquityProfitability
4.7%3/10

ROE of 4.7% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
3.7%3/10

3.7% margin — thin

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : TX

The strongest argument for TX centers on PEG Ratio, Price/Book, EPS Growth. PEG of 0.13 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : TX

The primary concerns for TX are Revenue Growth, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Thin 3.7% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while TX is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.

MP generates stronger free cash flow (-79M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

TX scores higher overall (60/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Ternium SA ADR

BASIC MATERIALS · STEEL · USA

Ternium SA manufactures and processes various steel products in Mexico, Argentina, Paraguay, Chile, Bolivia, Uruguay, Brazil, the United States, Colombia, Guatemala, Costa Rica, Honduras, El Salvador and Nicaragua. The company is headquartered in Luxembourg City, Luxembourg.

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