MP Materials Corp (MP)vsOrigin Materials Inc (ORGN)
MP
MP Materials Corp
$65.45
+1.22%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $10.25B
ORGN
Origin Materials Inc
$1.40
+2.19%
BASIC MATERIALS · Cap: $6.66M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
MP Materials Corp generates 2388% more annual revenue ($347.57M vs $13.97M). ORGN leads profitability with a 0.0% profit margin vs -20.5%. ORGN earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 42/100 (D).
MP
Avoid28
out of 100
Grade: F
ORGN
Hold42
out of 100
Grade: D
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-55.4%
Fair Value
$37.03
Current Price
$65.45
$28.42 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for ORGN.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 266.7% YoY
Conservative balance sheet, low leverage
Areas to Watch
Distress zone — elevated risk
ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency
Earnings declined 55.6%
Negative free cash flow — burning cash
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
0.0% margin — thin
ROE of -119.6% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 91.2%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MP
The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bull Case : ORGN
The strongest argument for ORGN centers on Price/Book, EPS Growth, Debt/Equity.
Bear Case : MP
The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : ORGN
The primary concerns for ORGN are Market Cap, Profit Margin, Return on Equity.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MP profiles as a hypergrowth stock while ORGN is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.84 — expect wider price swings.
MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.
ORGN generates stronger free cash flow (-12M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
ORGN scores higher overall (42/100 vs 28/100). Both earn "Hold" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
MP Materials Corp
BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA
MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Origin Materials Inc
BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA
Origen Financial, Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) in the United States. The company is headquartered in Southfield, Michigan.
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