Mattel Inc (MAT)vsXponential Fitness Inc (XPOF)
MAT
Mattel Inc
$14.87
-0.54%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $4.62B
XPOF
Xponential Fitness Inc
$5.79
+0.87%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $289.03M
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Mattel Inc generates 1598% more annual revenue ($5.35B vs $314.88M). MAT leads profitability with a 7.4% profit margin vs -12.3%. MAT earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 58/100 (C).
MAT
Buy58
out of 100
Grade: C
XPOF
Avoid31
out of 100
Grade: F
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-87.4%
Fair Value
$8.43
Current Price
$14.87
$6.44 premium
Intrinsic value data unavailable for XPOF.
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Reasonable price relative to book value
No standout strengths identified
Areas to Watch
7.4% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Earnings declined 18.5%
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
ROE of -28.8% — below average capital efficiency
Revenue declined 0.3%
Earnings declined 81.7%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : MAT
The strongest argument for MAT centers on P/E Ratio, Price/Book. PEG of 1.44 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : XPOF
XPOF has a balanced fundamental profile.
Bear Case : MAT
The primary concerns for MAT are Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : XPOF
The primary concerns for XPOF are Market Cap, Return on Equity, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
MAT profiles as a value stock while XPOF is a turnaround play — different risk/reward profiles.
XPOF carries more volatility with a beta of 1.49 — expect wider price swings.
MAT is growing revenue faster at 7.3% — sustainability is the question.
MAT generates stronger free cash flow (739M), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
MAT scores higher overall (58/100 vs 31/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Mattel Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · LEISURE · USA
Mattel, Inc., a children's entertainment company, designs and produces toys and consumer products worldwide. The company is headquartered in El Segundo, California.
Xponential Fitness Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · LEISURE · USA
Xponential Fitness Inc. (XPOF) stands at the forefront of the boutique fitness franchise sector, boasting a robust portfolio that includes leading brands like Club Pilates, CycleBar, and StretchLab. The company leverages a community-focused model to deliver personalized fitness solutions, positioning itself favorably within the burgeoning wellness market. With an innovative franchise system that meets the increasing demand for diverse fitness modalities, Xponential presents a strong growth trajectory driven by consumer trends. Its scalable approach combined with a commitment to operational excellence offers unique investment prospects for institutional stakeholders eager to engage with a dynamic segment of the health and wellness industry.
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