Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$777.17
-3.09%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $57.26B
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$241.33
+0.69%
INDUSTRIALS · Cap: $142.22B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Union Pacific Corporation generates 1064% more annual revenue ($24.51B vs $2.11B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.1% profit margin vs 11.9%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
LITE
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
UNP
Buy60
out of 100
Grade: C
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-255.6%
Fair Value
$161.46
Current Price
$777.17
$615.71 premium
Margin of Safety
-13.1%
Fair Value
$211.98
Current Price
$241.33
$29.35 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Every $100 of equity generates 40 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 40.9%
Large-cap with strong market position
Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Generating 1.2B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 65.5x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 0.6%
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : UNP
The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.1% and operating margin at 40.9%.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Bear Case : UNP
The primary concerns for UNP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
LITE profiles as a growth stock while UNP is a declining play — different risk/reward profiles.
LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.
LITE is growing revenue faster at 65.5% — sustainability is the question.
UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.2B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 60/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
Union Pacific Corporation
INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA
The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.
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