WallStSmart

Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 893% more annual revenue ($24.70B vs $2.49B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs 17.7%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.63. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).

LITE

Strong Buy

74

out of 100

Grade: B

Growth: 7.3Profit: 7.0Value: 5.0Quality: 3.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 0.58

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for LITE.

UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-76.6%)

Margin of Safety

-76.6%

Fair Value

$150.01

Current Price

$264.65

$114.64 premium

UndervaluedFair: $150.01Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

LITE6 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
90.1%10/10

Revenue surging 90.1% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
71.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY

Market CapQuality
$69.44B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Return on EquityProfitability
22.8%9/10

Every $100 of equity generates 23 in profit

PEG RatioValuation
0.638/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Operating MarginProfitability
21.8%8/10

Strong operational efficiency at 21.8%

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%

Market CapQuality
$157.27B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.2%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.50B8/10

Generating 1.5B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

LITE3 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
P/E RatioValuation
156.3x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
76.2x2/10

Trading at 76.2x book value

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
0.582/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.2%4/10

3.2% revenue growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.302/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : LITE

The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 17.7% and operating margin at 21.8%. Revenue growth of 90.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.

Bear Case : LITE

The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 156.3x leaves little room for execution misses.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

LITE profiles as a growth stock while UNP is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.53 — expect wider price swings.

LITE is growing revenue faster at 90.1% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

LITE scores higher overall (74/100 vs 60/100), backed by strong 17.7% margins and 90.1% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Lumentum Holdings Inc

TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA

Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

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