WallStSmart

Ciena Corp (CIEN)vsUnion Pacific Corporation (UNP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Union Pacific Corporation generates 382% more annual revenue ($24.70B vs $5.12B). UNP leads profitability with a 29.2% profit margin vs 4.5%. CIEN appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 2.27. UNP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

CIEN

Buy

52

out of 100

Grade: C-

Growth: 8.7Profit: 5.5Value: 3.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 1.18

UNP

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 4.0Profit: 9.5Value: 3.3Quality: 5.0
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

Intrinsic value data unavailable for CIEN.

UNPSignificantly Overvalued (-76.6%)

Margin of Safety

-76.6%

Fair Value

$150.01

Current Price

$264.65

$114.64 premium

UndervaluedFair: $150.01Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

CIEN3 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
33.1%10/10

Revenue surging 33.1% year-over-year

EPS GrowthGrowth
232.3%10/10

Earnings expanding 232.3% YoY

Market CapQuality
$76.18B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

UNP5 strengths · Avg: 9.2/10
Return on EquityProfitability
40.7%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit

Operating MarginProfitability
40.4%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 40.4%

Market CapQuality
$157.27B9/10

Large-cap with strong market position

Profit MarginProfitability
29.2%9/10

Keeps 29 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Free Cash FlowQuality
$1.50B8/10

Generating 1.5B in free cash flow

Areas to Watch

CIEN4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.274/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Profit MarginProfitability
4.5%3/10

4.5% margin — thin

P/E RatioValuation
345.4x2/10

Premium valuation, high expectations priced in

Price/BookValuation
27.8x2/10

Trading at 27.8x book value

UNP3 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
Price/BookValuation
8.5x4/10

Trading at 8.5x book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
3.2%4/10

3.2% revenue growth

PEG RatioValuation
3.302/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : CIEN

The strongest argument for CIEN centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 33.1% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : UNP

The strongest argument for UNP centers on Return on Equity, Operating Margin, Market Cap. Profitability is solid with margins at 29.2% and operating margin at 40.4%.

Bear Case : CIEN

The primary concerns for CIEN are PEG Ratio, Profit Margin, P/E Ratio. A P/E of 345.4x leaves little room for execution misses. Thin 4.5% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : UNP

The primary concerns for UNP are Price/Book, Revenue Growth, PEG Ratio.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

CIEN profiles as a hypergrowth stock while UNP is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.

CIEN carries more volatility with a beta of 1.25 — expect wider price swings.

CIEN is growing revenue faster at 33.1% — sustainability is the question.

UNP generates stronger free cash flow (1.5B), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

UNP scores higher overall (60/100 vs 52/100), backed by strong 29.2% margins. Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ciena Corp

TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA

Ciena Corporation provides hardware, software, and network services that support the transport, routing, switching, aggregation, service delivery, and management of video, data, and voice traffic on communications networks worldwide. The company is headquartered in Hanover, Maryland.

Visit Website →

Union Pacific Corporation

INDUSTRIALS · RAILROADS · USA

The Union Pacific Corporation (Union Pacific) is a publicly traded railroad holding company. It was incorporated in Utah in 1969 and is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. It is the parent company of the current, Delaware-registered, form of the Union Pacific Railroad.

Want to dig deeper into these stocks?