Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc (HRTG)vsProgressive Corp (PGR)
HRTG
Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
$26.41
-0.90%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $792.88M
PGR
Progressive Corp
$202.84
-1.63%
FINANCIAL SERVICES · Cap: $120.67B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
Progressive Corp generates 10243% more annual revenue ($87.64B vs $847.33M). HRTG leads profitability with a 23.1% profit margin vs 12.9%. HRTG trades at a lower P/E of 4.1x. HRTG earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 74/100 (B).
HRTG
Strong Buy74
out of 100
Grade: B
PGR
Strong Buy67
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
+91.4%
Fair Value
$295.78
Current Price
$26.41
$269.37 discount
Margin of Safety
+76.9%
Fair Value
$900.43
Current Price
$202.84
$697.59 discount
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 49 in profit
Strong operational efficiency at 41.6%
Keeps 23 of every $100 in revenue as profit
Reasonable price relative to book value
Attractively priced relative to earnings
Every $100 of equity generates 41 in profit
Large-cap with strong market position
Earnings expanding 25.2% YoY
Generating 3.0B in free cash flow
Areas to Watch
2.4% revenue growth
2.3% earnings growth
Smaller company, higher risk/reward
Expensive relative to growth rate
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HRTG
The strongest argument for HRTG centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Operating Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 23.1% and operating margin at 41.6%.
Bull Case : PGR
The strongest argument for PGR centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 12.2% demonstrates continued momentum.
Bear Case : HRTG
The primary concerns for HRTG are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap.
Bear Case : PGR
The primary concerns for PGR are PEG Ratio.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HRTG carries more volatility with a beta of 0.93 — expect wider price swings.
PGR is growing revenue faster at 12.2% — sustainability is the question.
PGR generates stronger free cash flow (3.0B), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
HRTG scores higher overall (74/100 vs 67/100), backed by strong 23.1% margins. PGR offers better value entry with a 76.9% margin of safety. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Strong Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
Heritage Insurance Holdings, Inc. provides residential personal and commercial insurance products. The company is headquartered in Clearwater, Florida.
Progressive Corp
FINANCIAL SERVICES · INSURANCE - PROPERTY & CASUALTY · USA
The Progressive Corporation is an American insurance company, one of the largest providers of car insurance in the United States. The company insures motorcycles, boats, RVs, and commercial vehicles and provides home insurance through select companies.
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