WallStSmart

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc (HOV)vsToll Brothers Inc (TOL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Toll Brothers Inc generates 283% more annual revenue ($11.25B vs $2.94B). TOL leads profitability with a 12.3% profit margin vs 1.9%. TOL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.99. TOL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

HOV

Hold

47

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 4.7Profit: 4.0Value: 7.3Quality: 5.0

TOL

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 10.0Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

HOVSignificantly Overvalued (-194.2%)

Margin of Safety

-194.2%

Fair Value

$44.00

Current Price

$110.24

$66.24 premium

UndervaluedFair: $44.00Overvalued
TOLUndervalued (+74.4%)

Margin of Safety

+74.4%

Fair Value

$629.93

Current Price

$136.91

$493.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $629.93Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

HOV2 strengths · Avg: 9.0/10
Price/BookValuation
0.9x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

P/E RatioValuation
16.1x8/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

TOL6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.6010/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

PEG RatioValuation
0.998/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.4%8/10

15.4% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.1% YoY

Areas to Watch

HOV4 concerns · Avg: 3.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
2.004/10

Expensive relative to growth rate

Market CapQuality
$617.87M3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Return on EquityProfitability
6.9%3/10

ROE of 6.9% — below average capital efficiency

Profit MarginProfitability
1.9%3/10

1.9% margin — thin

TOL2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-11.59M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : HOV

The strongest argument for HOV centers on Price/Book, P/E Ratio.

Bull Case : TOL

The strongest argument for TOL centers on P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 15.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.99 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : HOV

The primary concerns for HOV are PEG Ratio, Market Cap, Return on Equity. Thin 1.9% margins leave little buffer for downturns.

Bear Case : TOL

The primary concerns for TOL are Piotroski F-Score, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

HOV profiles as a value stock while TOL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

HOV carries more volatility with a beta of 2.07 — expect wider price swings.

TOL is growing revenue faster at 15.4% — sustainability is the question.

HOV generates stronger free cash flow (132M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

TOL scores higher overall (75/100 vs 47/100) and 15.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Hovnanian Enterprises Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA

Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. is dedicated to the design, construction, marketing and sales of residential homes in the United States. The company is headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey.

Toll Brothers Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA

Toll Brothers, Inc. designs, builds, markets, sells and manages the financing of a variety of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.

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