Hilton Grand Vacations Inc (HGV)vsMGM Resorts International (MGM)
HGV
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
$40.66
-1.95%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $3.38B
MGM
MGM Resorts International
$37.49
+1.02%
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · Cap: $10.15B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
MGM Resorts International generates 289% more annual revenue ($17.54B vs $4.51B). HGV leads profitability with a 1.8% profit margin vs 1.2%. HGV trades at a lower P/E of 46.6x. MGM earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 65/100 (C+).
HGV
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
MGM
Buy65
out of 100
Grade: C+
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-11.4%
Fair Value
$41.65
Current Price
$40.66
$0.99 premium
Margin of Safety
-2.2%
Fair Value
$35.57
Current Price
$37.49
$1.92 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Reasonable price relative to book value
Earnings expanding 115.7% YoY
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
3.7% revenue growth
1.9% earnings growth
ROE of 5.9% — below average capital efficiency
1.8% margin — thin
1.2% margin — thin
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Distress zone — elevated risk
Elevated debt levels
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : HGV
The strongest argument for HGV centers on Price/Book.
Bull Case : MGM
The strongest argument for MGM centers on EPS Growth, PEG Ratio. PEG of 0.96 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : HGV
The primary concerns for HGV are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Return on Equity. A P/E of 46.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 5.26 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Bear Case : MGM
The primary concerns for MGM are Profit Margin, P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 48.8x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 23.11 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
HGV carries more volatility with a beta of 1.47 — expect wider price swings.
MGM is growing revenue faster at 6.0% — sustainability is the question.
MGM generates stronger free cash flow (536M), providing more financial flexibility.
Monitor RESORTS & CASINOS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.
Bottom Line
MGM scores higher overall (65/100 vs 56/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA
Hilton Grand Vacations Inc., a timeshare company, develops, markets, sells and manages vacation-owned resorts primarily under the Hilton Grand Vacations brand. The company is headquartered in Orlando, Florida.
Visit Website →MGM Resorts International
CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESORTS & CASINOS · USA
MGM Resorts International is an American global hospitality and entertainment company operating destination resorts globally.
Visit Website →Compare with Other RESORTS & CASINOS Stocks
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