WallStSmart

Green Brick Partners Inc (GRBK)vsToll Brothers Inc (TOL)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Toll Brothers Inc generates 436% more annual revenue ($11.25B vs $2.10B). GRBK leads profitability with a 14.9% profit margin vs 12.3%. TOL appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.99. TOL earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 75/100 (B+).

GRBK

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 3.3Profit: 7.5Value: 7.3Quality: 7.8
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 5.25

TOL

Strong Buy

75

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 6.7Profit: 7.0Value: 10.0Quality: 8.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 3.60
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GRBKSignificantly Overvalued (-60.8%)

Margin of Safety

-60.8%

Fair Value

$48.08

Current Price

$64.01

$15.93 premium

UndervaluedFair: $48.08Overvalued
TOLUndervalued (+74.4%)

Margin of Safety

+74.4%

Fair Value

$629.93

Current Price

$136.91

$493.02 discount

UndervaluedFair: $629.93Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GRBK3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
P/E RatioValuation
8.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
5.2510/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

TOL6 strengths · Avg: 8.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
9.8x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
3.6010/10

Safe zone — low bankruptcy risk

PEG RatioValuation
0.998/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

Price/BookValuation
1.5x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Revenue GrowthGrowth
15.4%8/10

15.4% revenue growth

EPS GrowthGrowth
25.1%8/10

Earnings expanding 25.1% YoY

Areas to Watch

GRBK2 concerns · Avg: 2.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
-2.6%2/10

Revenue declined 2.6%

EPS GrowthGrowth
-23.0%2/10

Earnings declined 23.0%

TOL2 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-11.59M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GRBK

The strongest argument for GRBK centers on P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, Price/Book. PEG of 1.15 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : TOL

The strongest argument for TOL centers on P/E Ratio, Altman Z-Score, PEG Ratio. Revenue growth of 15.4% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.99 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : GRBK

The primary concerns for GRBK are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.

Bear Case : TOL

The primary concerns for TOL are Piotroski F-Score, Free Cash Flow.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GRBK profiles as a declining stock while TOL is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.

GRBK carries more volatility with a beta of 1.98 — expect wider price swings.

TOL is growing revenue faster at 15.4% — sustainability is the question.

GRBK generates stronger free cash flow (78M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

TOL scores higher overall (75/100 vs 60/100) and 15.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Green Brick Partners Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA

Green Brick Partners, Inc. is a home construction and land development company in the United States. The company is headquartered in Plano, Texas.

Toll Brothers Inc

CONSUMER CYCLICAL · RESIDENTIAL CONSTRUCTION · USA

Toll Brothers, Inc. designs, builds, markets, sells and manages the financing of a variety of detached and attached homes in luxury residential communities in the United States. The company is headquartered in Horsham, Pennsylvania.

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