WallStSmart

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE)vsMethanex Corporation (MEOH)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Methanex Corporation generates 89% more annual revenue ($3.67B vs $1.94B). GPRE leads profitability with a -0.8% profit margin vs -1.2%. MEOH appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.20. MEOH earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 60/100 (C).

GPRE

Hold

46

out of 100

Grade: D+

Growth: 2.0Profit: 3.5Value: 7.0Quality: 5.5
Piotroski: 3/9Altman Z: 1.53

MEOH

Buy

60

out of 100

Grade: C

Growth: 6.0Profit: 4.5Value: 6.3Quality: 4.5
Piotroski: 2/9Altman Z: 1.49
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

GPREUndervalued (+55.1%)

Margin of Safety

+55.1%

Fair Value

$34.53

Current Price

$14.97

$19.56 discount

UndervaluedFair: $34.53Overvalued
MEOHOvervalued (-6.1%)

Margin of Safety

-6.1%

Fair Value

$46.43

Current Price

$57.62

$11.19 premium

UndervaluedFair: $46.43Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

GPRE1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Price/BookValuation
1.3x10/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MEOH3 strengths · Avg: 9.3/10
PEG RatioValuation
0.2010/10

Growing faster than its price suggests

EPS GrowthGrowth
78.1%10/10

Earnings expanding 78.1% YoY

Price/BookValuation
1.9x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

Areas to Watch

GPRE4 concerns · Avg: 3.0/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Market CapQuality
$1.05B3/10

Smaller company, higher risk/reward

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
3/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Return on EquityProfitability
-2.0%2/10

ROE of -2.0% — below average capital efficiency

MEOH4 concerns · Avg: 2.8/10
Return on EquityProfitability
0.6%3/10

ROE of 0.6% — below average capital efficiency

Debt/EquityHealth
1.433/10

Elevated debt levels

Piotroski F-ScoreQuality
2/93/10

Weak financial health signals

Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.492/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : GPRE

The strongest argument for GPRE centers on Price/Book. PEG of 1.16 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bull Case : MEOH

The strongest argument for MEOH centers on PEG Ratio, EPS Growth, Price/Book. PEG of 0.20 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.

Bear Case : GPRE

The primary concerns for GPRE are Altman Z-Score, Market Cap, Piotroski F-Score.

Bear Case : MEOH

The primary concerns for MEOH are Return on Equity, Debt/Equity, Piotroski F-Score.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

GPRE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.19 — expect wider price swings.

MEOH is growing revenue faster at 8.6% — sustainability is the question.

MEOH generates stronger free cash flow (110M), providing more financial flexibility.

Monitor CHEMICALS industry trends, competitive dynamics, and regulatory changes.

Bottom Line

MEOH scores higher overall (60/100 vs 46/100). GPRE offers better value entry with a 55.1% margin of safety. Both earn "Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Green Plains Inc. produces, markets, and distributes ethanol in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska.

Methanex Corporation

BASIC MATERIALS · CHEMICALS · USA

Methanex Corporation produces and supplies methanol in North America, Asia Pacific, Europe, and South America. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

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