WallStSmart

Ero Copper Corp (ERO)vsMP Materials Corp (MP)

VS

Smart Verdict

WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison

Ero Copper Corp generates 166% more annual revenue ($923.93M vs $347.57M). ERO leads profitability with a 31.6% profit margin vs -20.5%. ERO earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 78/100 (B+).

ERO

Strong Buy

78

out of 100

Grade: B+

Growth: 10.0Profit: 9.5Value: 5.7Quality: 6.5
Piotroski: 6/9Altman Z: 2.00

MP

Avoid

28

out of 100

Grade: F

Growth: 4.7Profit: 2.0Value: 4.0Quality: 7.5
Piotroski: 4/9Altman Z: 1.53
IV

Intrinsic Value Comparison

Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula

EROSignificantly Overvalued (-16.8%)

Margin of Safety

-16.8%

Fair Value

$26.98

Current Price

$25.78

$1.20 premium

UndervaluedFair: $26.98Overvalued
MPSignificantly Overvalued (-59.8%)

Margin of Safety

-59.8%

Fair Value

$37.03

Current Price

$65.45

$28.42 premium

UndervaluedFair: $37.03Overvalued

Key Strengths & Concerns

Side-by-side fundamental analysis

Key Strengths

ERO6 strengths · Avg: 9.7/10
P/E RatioValuation
10.9x10/10

Attractively priced relative to earnings

Return on EquityProfitability
32.5%10/10

Every $100 of equity generates 33 in profit

Profit MarginProfitability
31.6%10/10

Keeps 32 of every $100 in revenue as profit

Operating MarginProfitability
34.7%10/10

Strong operational efficiency at 34.7%

Revenue GrowthGrowth
110.4%10/10

Revenue surging 110.4% year-over-year

Price/BookValuation
2.4x8/10

Reasonable price relative to book value

MP1 strengths · Avg: 10.0/10
Revenue GrowthGrowth
118.6%10/10

Revenue surging 118.6% year-over-year

Areas to Watch

ERO0 concerns · Avg: 0/10

No major concerns identified

MP4 concerns · Avg: 2.5/10
Altman Z-ScoreHealth
1.534/10

Distress zone — elevated risk

Return on EquityProfitability
-3.0%2/10

ROE of -3.0% — below average capital efficiency

EPS GrowthGrowth
-55.6%2/10

Earnings declined 55.6%

Free Cash FlowQuality
$-79.28M2/10

Negative free cash flow — burning cash

Comparative Analysis Report

WallStSmart Research

Bull Case : ERO

The strongest argument for ERO centers on P/E Ratio, Return on Equity, Profit Margin. Profitability is solid with margins at 31.6% and operating margin at 34.7%. Revenue growth of 110.4% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bull Case : MP

The strongest argument for MP centers on Revenue Growth. Revenue growth of 118.6% demonstrates continued momentum.

Bear Case : ERO

No major red flags identified for ERO, but monitor valuation.

Bear Case : MP

The primary concerns for MP are Altman Z-Score, Return on Equity, EPS Growth.

Key Dynamics to Monitor

ERO profiles as a growth stock while MP is a hypergrowth play — different risk/reward profiles.

MP carries more volatility with a beta of 1.91 — expect wider price swings.

MP is growing revenue faster at 118.6% — sustainability is the question.

ERO generates stronger free cash flow (20M), providing more financial flexibility.

Bottom Line

ERO scores higher overall (78/100 vs 28/100), backed by strong 31.6% margins and 110.4% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Avoid" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.

This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.

Ero Copper Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · COPPER · USA

Ero Copper Corp. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Canada.

MP Materials Corp

BASIC MATERIALS · OTHER INDUSTRIAL METALS & MINING · USA

MP Materials Corp. The company is headquartered in Las Vegas, Nevada.

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