ConocoPhillips (COP)vsVistra Corp. (VST)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$113.87
-0.88%
ENERGY · Cap: $139.96B
VST
Vistra Corp.
$147.72
-4.05%
UTILITIES · Cap: $52.12B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 235% more annual revenue ($59.38B vs $17.74B). COP leads profitability with a 12.3% profit margin vs 5.3%. COP appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 1.14. COP earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 56/100 (C).
COP
Buy56
out of 100
Grade: C
VST
Buy53
out of 100
Grade: C-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-50.4%
Fair Value
$73.94
Current Price
$113.87
$39.93 premium
Margin of Safety
-53.3%
Fair Value
$101.06
Current Price
$147.72
$46.66 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Strong operational efficiency at 22.1%
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Large-cap with strong market position
Areas to Watch
Revenue declined 5.3%
Earnings declined 20.2%
Trading at 19.1x book value
5.3% margin — thin
Weak financial health signals
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Operating Margin. PEG of 1.14 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bull Case : VST
The strongest argument for VST centers on Market Cap. Revenue growth of 13.6% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 1.38 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : VST
The primary concerns for VST are Price/Book, Profit Margin, Piotroski F-Score. A P/E of 70.6x leaves little room for execution misses. Debt-to-equity of 3.36 is elevated, increasing financial risk.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while VST is a value play — different risk/reward profiles.
VST carries more volatility with a beta of 1.45 — expect wider price swings.
VST is growing revenue faster at 13.6% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
COP scores higher overall (56/100 vs 53/100). Both earn "Buy" and "Buy" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Vistra Corp.
UTILITIES · UTILITIES - INDEPENDENT POWER PRODUCERS · USA
Vistra Corp. The company is headquartered in Irving, Texas.
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