ConocoPhillips (COP)vsLumentum Holdings Inc (LITE)
COP
ConocoPhillips
$128.93
-0.32%
ENERGY · Cap: $157.60B
LITE
Lumentum Holdings Inc
$777.17
-3.09%
TECHNOLOGY · Cap: $57.26B
Smart Verdict
WallStSmart Research — data-driven comparison
ConocoPhillips generates 2763% more annual revenue ($60.28B vs $2.11B). COP leads profitability with a 13.3% profit margin vs 11.9%. LITE appears more attractively valued with a PEG of 0.97. LITE earns a higher WallStSmart Score of 69/100 (B-).
COP
Hold48
out of 100
Grade: D+
LITE
Strong Buy69
out of 100
Grade: B-
Intrinsic Value Comparison
Multi-model valuation · Graham Formula
Margin of Safety
-157.1%
Fair Value
$43.25
Current Price
$128.93
$85.68 premium
Margin of Safety
-255.6%
Fair Value
$161.46
Current Price
$777.17
$615.71 premium
Key Strengths & Concerns
Side-by-side fundamental analysis
Key Strengths
Large-cap with strong market position
Reasonable price relative to book value
Generating 1.3B in free cash flow
Revenue surging 65.5% year-over-year
Earnings expanding 71.1% YoY
Large-cap with strong market position
Every $100 of equity generates 29 in profit
Growing faster than its price suggests
Areas to Watch
Expensive relative to growth rate
Revenue declined 6.8%
Earnings declined 39.0%
Premium valuation, high expectations priced in
Trading at 65.5x book value
Distress zone — elevated risk
Comparative Analysis Report
WallStSmart ResearchBull Case : COP
The strongest argument for COP centers on Market Cap, Price/Book, Free Cash Flow.
Bull Case : LITE
The strongest argument for LITE centers on Revenue Growth, EPS Growth, Market Cap. Revenue growth of 65.5% demonstrates continued momentum. PEG of 0.97 suggests the stock is reasonably priced for its growth.
Bear Case : COP
The primary concerns for COP are PEG Ratio, Revenue Growth, EPS Growth.
Bear Case : LITE
The primary concerns for LITE are P/E Ratio, Price/Book, Altman Z-Score. A P/E of 232.5x leaves little room for execution misses.
Key Dynamics to Monitor
COP profiles as a declining stock while LITE is a growth play — different risk/reward profiles.
LITE carries more volatility with a beta of 1.41 — expect wider price swings.
LITE is growing revenue faster at 65.5% — sustainability is the question.
COP generates stronger free cash flow (1.3B), providing more financial flexibility.
Bottom Line
LITE scores higher overall (69/100 vs 48/100) and 65.5% revenue growth. Both earn "Strong Buy" and "Hold" ratings respectively — the choice depends on your investment horizon and risk tolerance.
This analysis is generated from publicly available financial data. Not financial advice.
ConocoPhillips
ENERGY · OIL & GAS E&P · USA
ConocoPhillips is an American multinational corporation engaged in hydrocarbon exploration. It is based in the Energy Corridor district of Houston, Texas.
Lumentum Holdings Inc
TECHNOLOGY · COMMUNICATION EQUIPMENT · USA
Lumentum Holdings Inc. manufactures and sells optical and photonic products in the Americas, Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
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